{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M83JWG2T82",
  "slug": "kxhighden-26aug04",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Denver on August 4, 2026 exceed 90°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "denver-weather",
    "temperature-extreme",
    "august-2026",
    "weather-forecast",
    "climate-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These six Kalshi markets collectively price the full distribution of Denver's high temperature on August 4, 2026. Each contract covers a discrete temperature tier from below 75°F to above 82°F. Together they form a probability-weighted temperature curve for that date. The National Weather Service Denver Climatological Report is the authoritative resolver, via Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LDMQZHWH97",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.37,
    "implied_probability": 0.37
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HG4QPWTKJ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M83JWG2T82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHDEN-26AUG04-T75",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be <75° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "74° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "74° or below: National Weather Service Denver Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome by 2:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHDEN, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 75°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1396.14,
      "volume_total_usd": 1471.65,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 75,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LMMNNNDG80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M83JWG2T82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHDEN-26AUG04-B75.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be 75-76° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "75° to 76°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "75° to 76°: National Weather Service Denver Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome by 2:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHDEN, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 75-76°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1018.06,
      "volume_total_usd": 1022.31,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 76,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LDMQZHWH97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M83JWG2T82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHDEN-26AUG04-B77.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be 77-78° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "77° to 78°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "77° to 78°: National Weather Service Denver Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome by 2:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHDEN, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 77-78°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.37,
      "implied_probability": 0.37,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2007.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 2118.32,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 78,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BFS7260WN9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M83JWG2T82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHDEN-26AUG04-B79.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be 79-80° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "79° to 80°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "79° to 80°: National Weather Service Denver Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome by 2:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHDEN, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 196.83,
      "volume_total_usd": 198.55,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YGJW7N67H1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M83JWG2T82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHDEN-26AUG04-B81.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be 81-82° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "81° to 82°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "81° to 82°: National Weather Service Denver Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome by 2:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHDEN, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 241.59,
      "volume_total_usd": 242.83,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 82,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0LZM8B3X5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M83JWG2T82",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHDEN-26AUG04-T82",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Denver** be >82° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "83° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "83° or above: National Weather Service Denver Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome by 2:00 PM ET on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHDEN, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Denver, CO for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 82°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 26.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 28.39,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 82,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "denver",
        "denver temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-M83JWG2T82",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}