{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCS9YFF059",
  "slug": "kxhighlax-26aug04",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 4, 2026 exceed 100°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-prediction",
    "temperature-metric",
    "los-angeles",
    "august-2026",
    "daily-weather"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the daily high temperature in Los Angeles on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six mutually exclusive temperature tiers, spanning below 75°F through above 82°F. The tiers form a complete probability distribution; exactly one resolves true. Kalshi staff determine outcomes using the National Weather Service Los Angeles Climatological Report.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XNKYQLFD76",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.78,
    "implied_probability": 0.78
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2F88XYFSK2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCS9YFF059",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26AUG04-T75",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be <75° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "74° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "74° or below: National Weather Service Los Angeles Climatological Report confirms the high temperature range on August 4, 2026 by 2 p.m. Pacific time on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 75°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Los Angeles Airport, CA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 342.71,
      "volume_total_usd": 368.28,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 75,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "los angeles",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XPDCD8R1G0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCS9YFF059",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26AUG04-B75.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be 75-76° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "75° to 76°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "75° to 76°: National Weather Service Los Angeles Climatological Report confirms the high temperature range on August 4, 2026 by 2 p.m. Pacific time on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 75-76°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Los Angeles Airport, CA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1158.37,
      "volume_total_usd": 1273.89,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 76,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "los angeles",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XNKYQLFD76",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCS9YFF059",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26AUG04-B77.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be 77-78° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "77° to 78°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "77° to 78°: National Weather Service Los Angeles Climatological Report confirms the high temperature range on August 4, 2026 by 2 p.m. Pacific time on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 77-78°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Los Angeles Airport, CA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.78,
      "implied_probability": 0.78,
      "volume_24h_usd": 24758.49,
      "volume_total_usd": 25660.21,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 78,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "los angeles",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4HL0X0HJ40",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCS9YFF059",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26AUG04-B79.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be 79-80° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "79° to 80°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "79° to 80°: National Weather Service Los Angeles Climatological Report confirms the high temperature range on August 4, 2026 by 2 p.m. Pacific time on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Los Angeles Airport, CA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5196.89,
      "volume_total_usd": 5348.68,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "los angeles",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-41GWPKF7Z4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCS9YFF059",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26AUG04-B81.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be 81-82° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "81° to 82°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "81° to 82°: National Weather Service Los Angeles Climatological Report confirms the high temperature range on August 4, 2026 by 2 p.m. Pacific time on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Los Angeles Airport, CA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 298.13,
      "volume_total_usd": 305.9,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 82,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "los angeles",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DRS41QY7M1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HCS9YFF059",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26AUG04-T82",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be >82° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "83° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "83° or above: National Weather Service Los Angeles Climatological Report confirms the high temperature range on August 4, 2026 by 2 p.m. Pacific time on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 82°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Los Angeles Airport, CA",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1097.57,
      "volume_total_usd": 1148.3,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 82,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august 2026",
        "los angeles",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-HCS9YFF059",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}