{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7YBLLW4P1",
  "slug": "kxhighlax-26jul23",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 23, 2026 exceed a certain threshold?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-temperature",
    "los-angeles",
    "july-2026",
    "daily-high",
    "climate-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the daily high temperature in Los Angeles on July 23, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six mutually exclusive temperature bands, from below 79°F through above 86°F. Together they form a full probability distribution over the plausible high-temperature range. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using the National Weather Service Los Angeles office Climatological Report.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DWS6G1DW14",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.54,
    "implied_probability": 0.54
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-55Y7RGJKH1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7YBLLW4P1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26JUL23-T79",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be <79° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "78° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "78° or below: The National Weather Service Los Angeles office Climatological Report issued for July 23, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome, with resolution on July 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 79°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 766.35,
      "volume_total_usd": 775.04,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 79,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "la",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DWS6G1DW14",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7YBLLW4P1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26JUL23-B79.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be 79-80° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "79° to 80°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "79° to 80°: The National Weather Service Los Angeles office Climatological Report issued for July 23, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome, with resolution on July 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.54,
      "implied_probability": 0.54,
      "volume_24h_usd": 52368.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 56917.57,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "la",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B1ZT7BLNH6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7YBLLW4P1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26JUL23-B81.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be 81-82° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "81° to 82°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "81° to 82°: The National Weather Service Los Angeles office Climatological Report issued for July 23, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome, with resolution on July 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.46,
      "implied_probability": 0.46,
      "volume_24h_usd": 34158.71,
      "volume_total_usd": 37006.26,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 82,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "la",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S74CT2Z788",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7YBLLW4P1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26JUL23-B83.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be 83-84° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "83° to 84°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "83° to 84°: The National Weather Service Los Angeles office Climatological Report issued for July 23, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome, with resolution on July 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 83-84°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2238.53,
      "volume_total_usd": 2344.41,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 84,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "la",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L5YHBXTC56",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7YBLLW4P1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26JUL23-B85.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be 85-86° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "85° to 86°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "85° to 86°: The National Weather Service Los Angeles office Climatological Report issued for July 23, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome, with resolution on July 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 430.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 441.58,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 86,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "la",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W3CKQH2N29",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-W7YBLLW4P1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHLAX-26JUL23-T86",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in LA** be >86° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "87° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "87° or above: The National Weather Service Los Angeles office Climatological Report issued for July 23, 2026 determines the high temperature outcome, with resolution on July 24, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for July 23, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 86°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOX&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2842.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 2876.7,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 86,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "la",
        "temperature",
        "temperature los angeles",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-W7YBLLW4P1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}