{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WRK1R1XV95",
  "slug": "kxhighmia-26aug04",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Miami on August 4, 2026 exceed 90°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "miami-weather",
    "temperature-forecasting",
    "august-2026",
    "climate-data",
    "daily-high"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These six Kalshi markets collectively price the daily high temperature in Miami on August 4, 2026. Each contract covers a discrete two-degree Fahrenheit band, spanning below 86°F to above 93°F. The bands are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, so exactly one resolves true. Kalshi staff determine outcomes using the National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for that date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GK10DZC8Q5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.89,
    "implied_probability": 0.89
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZFNW9241H1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WRK1R1XV95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26AUG04-T86",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be <86° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "85° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "85° or below: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for the specified date determines the high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHMIA, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 86°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 29.32,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 86,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2DS50QX1K1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WRK1R1XV95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26AUG04-B86.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be 86-87° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "86° to 87°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "86° to 87°: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for the specified date determines the high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHMIA, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 86-87°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 35.88,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 87,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HD8BW78YM5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WRK1R1XV95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26AUG04-B88.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be 88-89° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "88° to 89°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "88° to 89°: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for the specified date determines the high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHMIA, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 88-89°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 134.36,
      "volume_total_usd": 159.86,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 89,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-275KPLRGZ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WRK1R1XV95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26AUG04-B90.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be 90-91° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "90° to 91°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "90° to 91°: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for the specified date determines the high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHMIA, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 90-91°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 155,
      "volume_total_usd": 199.65,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 91,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GK10DZC8Q5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WRK1R1XV95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26AUG04-B92.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be 92-93° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "92° to 93°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "92° to 93°: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for the specified date determines the high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHMIA, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 92-93°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14127.36,
      "volume_total_usd": 18955.49,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 93,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G0MRYSZ5G8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WRK1R1XV95",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26AUG04-T93",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be >93° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "94° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "94° or above: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report for the specified date determines the high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHMIA, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 93°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 878.34,
      "volume_total_usd": 1166.47,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 93,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WRK1R1XV95",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}