{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QNF80DB1J2",
  "slug": "kxhighmia-26jun12",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Miami on June 12, 2026 exceed 90°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "temperature-prediction",
    "miami-weather",
    "june-2026",
    "weather-measurement",
    "extreme-heat"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These six Kalshi markets collectively price the June 12, 2026 daily high temperature in Miami across six mutually exclusive Fahrenheit bands. The bands span below 86 degrees through above 93 degrees, forming a discrete probability distribution over the full plausible range. Kalshi staff determination draws from the National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report published June 13, 2026. The six contracts sum to unity, so relative pricing reveals the market-implied mode of the temperature distribution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DXN0KLVS05",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N04MJVMXH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QNF80DB1J2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUN12-T86",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be <86° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "85° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "85° or below: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report published June 13, 2026 determines whether the high temperature for the referenced date falls within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 86°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Miami International Airport",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 19.94,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 86,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P14KZCX4V2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QNF80DB1J2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUN12-B86.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be 86-87° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "86° to 87°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "86° to 87°: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report published June 13, 2026 determines whether the high temperature for the referenced date falls within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 86-87°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Miami International Airport",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 49.58,
      "volume_total_usd": 63.38,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 87,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VTWWKKB6Q7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QNF80DB1J2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUN12-B88.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be 88-89° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "88° to 89°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "88° to 89°: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report published June 13, 2026 determines whether the high temperature for the referenced date falls within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 88-89°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Miami International Airport",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 183.45,
      "volume_total_usd": 186.85,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 89,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DXN0KLVS05",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QNF80DB1J2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUN12-B90.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be 90-91° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "90° to 91°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "90° to 91°: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report published June 13, 2026 determines whether the high temperature for the referenced date falls within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 90-91°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Miami International Airport",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13287.08,
      "volume_total_usd": 13987.23,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 91,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3YCXV40CR5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QNF80DB1J2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUN12-B92.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be 92-93° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "92° to 93°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "92° to 93°: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report published June 13, 2026 determines whether the high temperature for the referenced date falls within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 92-93°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Miami International Airport",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3044.28,
      "volume_total_usd": 3077.57,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 93,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FCNH2T2266",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QNF80DB1J2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHMIA-26JUN12-T93",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Miami** be >93° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "94° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "94° or above: National Weather Service Miami Climatological Report published June 13, 2026 determines whether the high temperature for the referenced date falls within the specified range.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the highest temperature recorded at Miami International Airport for June 12, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 93°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Miami",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Miami International Airport",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 85.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 87.11,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 93,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "miami",
        "miami temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N04MJVMXH7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.403046Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P14KZCX4V2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.403046Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VTWWKKB6Q7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.403046Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DXN0KLVS05",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.403046Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3YCXV40CR5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.403046Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FCNH2T2266",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T12:01:33.403046Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-QNF80DB1J2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}