{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ694K2QR4",
  "slug": "kxhighny-26aug04",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in New York City on August 4, 2026 reach 90°F or higher?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-prediction",
    "temperature-extreme",
    "nyc-metropolitan",
    "summer-2026",
    "real-world-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the National Weather Service daily high temperature reading for New York City on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six mutually exclusive temperature bands, spanning below 81 degrees through above 88 degrees Fahrenheit. Each band resolves via Kalshi staff determination against the NWS New York City Climatological Report. Together the six contracts function as a discrete probability distribution over the day's peak temperature.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WV4BBXHMB9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.6,
    "implied_probability": 0.6
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-69RWDT56C4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ694K2QR4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHNY-26AUG04-T81",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be <81° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "80° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "80° or below: National Weather Service New York City Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the daily high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHNY, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 81°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 735.55,
      "volume_total_usd": 737.54,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 81,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GMG1Y5N4P7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ694K2QR4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHNY-26AUG04-B81.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be 81-82° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "81° to 82°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "81° to 82°: National Weather Service New York City Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the daily high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHNY, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 81-82°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 231.48,
      "volume_total_usd": 232.35,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 82,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P52JZ2K9L0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ694K2QR4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHNY-26AUG04-B83.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be 83-84° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "83° to 84°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "83° to 84°: National Weather Service New York City Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the daily high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHNY, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 83-84°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15115.72,
      "volume_total_usd": 15854.92,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 84,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WV4BBXHMB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ694K2QR4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHNY-26AUG04-B85.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be 85-86° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "85° to 86°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "85° to 86°: National Weather Service New York City Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the daily high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHNY, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.6,
      "implied_probability": 0.6,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15484.83,
      "volume_total_usd": 16599.54,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 86,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4R7WDXL4Z3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ694K2QR4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHNY-26AUG04-B87.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be 87-88° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "87° to 88°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "87° to 88°: National Weather Service New York City Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the daily high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHNY, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 87-88°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 193.75,
      "volume_total_usd": 221.26,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 88,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3WN24TW9Z7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TJ694K2QR4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHNY-26AUG04-T88",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in NYC** be >88° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "89° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "89° or above: National Weather Service New York City Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines the daily high temperature, resolved by Kalshi staff on August 5, 2026 at 2 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHNY, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 88°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13.49,
      "volume_total_usd": 20.87,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 88,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "nyc",
        "nyc temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TJ694K2QR4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}