{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DNJR26CFD5",
  "slug": "kxhighphil-26aug04",
  "question": "What will be the highest temperature in Philadelphia on August 4, 2026?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "philadelphia-weather",
    "temperature-forecast",
    "august-2026",
    "weather-prediction",
    "us-climate"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the daily high temperature in Philadelphia on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six discrete temperature tier brackets, from below 83°F to above 90°F. All six contracts resolve via Kalshi staff determination using the National Weather Service Philadelphia office's Climatological Report published August 5, 2026. Only one bracket can resolve true; pricing across tiers implies a consensus probability distribution over the expected high.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1QCWBFNR52",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.58,
    "implied_probability": 0.58
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T78Z63TWX9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DNJR26CFD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHPHIL-26AUG04-T83",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be <83° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "82° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "82° or below: The National Weather Service Philadelphia office's Climatological Report, published August 5, 2026, resolves the high temperature outcome for the specified date.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHPHIL, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 83°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.98,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.98,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 83,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "philadelphia",
        "philadelphia temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GDJWG529S3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DNJR26CFD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHPHIL-26AUG04-B83.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be 83-84° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "83° to 84°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "83° to 84°: The National Weather Service Philadelphia office's Climatological Report, published August 5, 2026, resolves the high temperature outcome for the specified date.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHPHIL, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 83-84°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 44.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 45.08,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 84,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "philadelphia",
        "philadelphia temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PHV8YRHCS2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DNJR26CFD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHPHIL-26AUG04-B85.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be 85-86° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "85° to 86°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "85° to 86°: The National Weather Service Philadelphia office's Climatological Report, published August 5, 2026, resolves the high temperature outcome for the specified date.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHPHIL, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 227.14,
      "volume_total_usd": 232.77,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 86,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "philadelphia",
        "philadelphia temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1QCWBFNR52",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DNJR26CFD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHPHIL-26AUG04-B87.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be 87-88° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "87° to 88°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "87° to 88°: The National Weather Service Philadelphia office's Climatological Report, published August 5, 2026, resolves the high temperature outcome for the specified date.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHPHIL, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 87-88°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.58,
      "implied_probability": 0.58,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3256.95,
      "volume_total_usd": 3421.45,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 88,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "philadelphia",
        "philadelphia temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DPJXV5SPP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DNJR26CFD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHPHIL-26AUG04-B89.5",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be 89-90° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "89° to 90°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "89° to 90°: The National Weather Service Philadelphia office's Climatological Report, published August 5, 2026, resolves the high temperature outcome for the specified date.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHPHIL, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 89-90°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1954.12,
      "volume_total_usd": 2042.76,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 90,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "philadelphia",
        "philadelphia temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-14L3MPWTY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DNJR26CFD5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHPHIL-26AUG04-T90",
      "question": "Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be >90° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "91° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "91° or above: The National Weather Service Philadelphia office's Climatological Report, published August 5, 2026, resolves the high temperature outcome for the specified date.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "EXCHANGE NOTICE (venue page banner, series KXHIGHPHIL, notice id WEATHER-2025-3-3):\n**Important information:** Not all weather data is the same. See the rules for more details.\n[END EXCHANGE NOTICE]\n\nIf the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport for August 04, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 90°, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 204.97,
      "volume_total_usd": 217.75,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 90,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "philadelphia",
        "philadelphia temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DNJR26CFD5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}