{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CYM312S53",
  "slug": "kxhightdal-26aug04",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas on August 4, 2026 exceed 100°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "temperature-prediction",
    "weather-events",
    "dallas-tx",
    "august-2026",
    "climate-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the official maximum temperature in Dallas on August 4, 2026. Six mutually exclusive Kalshi tiers span below 100°F to above 107°F, forming a full probability distribution over the temperature range. Together, the tiers function as a discrete approximation of a continuous outcome. Resolution uses Kalshi staff determination against the National Weather Service Climatological Report for Dallas-Fort Worth.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6R0FMXVKJ8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.74,
    "implied_probability": 0.74
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VN2ND49HJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CYM312S53",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTDAL-26AUG04-T100",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be <100° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "99° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "99° or below: National Weather Service Climatological Report for Dallas-Fort Worth resolves maximum temperature outcomes on August 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Aug 4, 2026, is less than 100° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Dallas/Fort Worth, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 73.41,
      "volume_total_usd": 103.09,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dallas",
        "dallas maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6R0FMXVKJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CYM312S53",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTDAL-26AUG04-B100.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 100-101° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "100° to 101°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "100° to 101°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for Dallas-Fort Worth resolves maximum temperature outcomes on August 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Aug 4, 2026, is between 100-101° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Dallas/Fort Worth, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.74,
      "implied_probability": 0.74,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4866.28,
      "volume_total_usd": 5517.71,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 101,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dallas",
        "dallas maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HB2XZPT472",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CYM312S53",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTDAL-26AUG04-B102.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 102-103° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "102° to 103°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "102° to 103°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for Dallas-Fort Worth resolves maximum temperature outcomes on August 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Aug 4, 2026, is between 102-103° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Dallas/Fort Worth, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1016.61,
      "volume_total_usd": 1110.89,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 103,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dallas",
        "dallas maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P8T3GN1002",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CYM312S53",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTDAL-26AUG04-B104.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 104-105° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "104° to 105°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "104° to 105°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for Dallas-Fort Worth resolves maximum temperature outcomes on August 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Aug 4, 2026, is between 104-105° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Dallas/Fort Worth, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 20.76,
      "volume_total_usd": 21,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 105,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dallas",
        "dallas maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G7CY9MNY86",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CYM312S53",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTDAL-26AUG04-B106.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 106-107° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "106° to 107°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "106° to 107°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for Dallas-Fort Worth resolves maximum temperature outcomes on August 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Aug 4, 2026, is between 106-107° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Dallas/Fort Worth, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.74,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.17,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 107,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dallas",
        "dallas maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SRF4QX00F7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CYM312S53",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTDAL-26AUG04-T107",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be >107° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "108° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "108° or above: National Weather Service Climatological Report for Dallas-Fort Worth resolves maximum temperature outcomes on August 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Dallas for Aug 4, 2026, is greater than 107° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIDFW can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=fwd, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Dallas/Fort Worth, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.09,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 107,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dallas",
        "dallas maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9CYM312S53",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}