{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TG93JJPNZ4",
  "slug": "kxhighthou-26aug04",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Houston on August 4, 2026 exceed 95°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "temperature-forecast",
    "houston",
    "august-2026",
    "weather-data",
    "noaa-resolution"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the daily maximum temperature in Houston on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six discrete strike tiers spanning below 95°F to above 102°F. Together, the tiers form a full probability distribution over the expected temperature range. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using the National Weather Service Houston Climatological Report published by August 5, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0Q6WTH4WD8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.74,
    "implied_probability": 0.74
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WRY9B0VGV4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TG93JJPNZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTHOU-26AUG04-T95",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be <95° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "94° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "94° or below: The National Weather Service Houston Climatological Report, published by August 5, 2026, determines the maximum temperature recorded on August 4, 2026, resolving to the applicable outcome range.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Aug 4, 2026, is less than 95° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Houston-Hobby, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14.46,
      "volume_total_usd": 16.85,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 95,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "houston",
        "houston temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XD00HVB876",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TG93JJPNZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTHOU-26AUG04-B95.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 95-96° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "95° to 96°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "95° to 96°: The National Weather Service Houston Climatological Report, published by August 5, 2026, determines the maximum temperature recorded on August 4, 2026, resolving to the applicable outcome range.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Aug 4, 2026, is between 95-96° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Houston-Hobby, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2020.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 2050.01,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 96,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "houston",
        "houston temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0Q6WTH4WD8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TG93JJPNZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTHOU-26AUG04-B97.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 97-98° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "97° to 98°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "97° to 98°: The National Weather Service Houston Climatological Report, published by August 5, 2026, determines the maximum temperature recorded on August 4, 2026, resolving to the applicable outcome range.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Aug 4, 2026, is between 97-98° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Houston-Hobby, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.74,
      "implied_probability": 0.74,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8538.79,
      "volume_total_usd": 9009.94,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 98,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "houston",
        "houston temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NMQ0625QX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TG93JJPNZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTHOU-26AUG04-B99.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 99-100° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "99° to 100°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "99° to 100°: The National Weather Service Houston Climatological Report, published by August 5, 2026, determines the maximum temperature recorded on August 4, 2026, resolving to the applicable outcome range.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Aug 4, 2026, is between 99-100° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Houston-Hobby, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": 106.23,
      "volume_total_usd": 134.26,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "houston",
        "houston temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YRHYK4WGY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TG93JJPNZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTHOU-26AUG04-B101.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 101-102° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "101° to 102°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "101° to 102°: The National Weather Service Houston Climatological Report, published by August 5, 2026, determines the maximum temperature recorded on August 4, 2026, resolving to the applicable outcome range.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Aug 4, 2026, is between 101-102° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Houston-Hobby, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.91,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.45,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 102,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "houston",
        "houston temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FWRL35JWB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TG93JJPNZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTHOU-26AUG04-T102",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be >102° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "103° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "103° or above: The National Weather Service Houston Climatological Report, published by August 5, 2026, determines the maximum temperature recorded on August 4, 2026, resolving to the applicable outcome range.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Houston for Aug 4, 2026, is greater than 102° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIHOU can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=hgx, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Houston-Hobby, TX\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Houston",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX&product=CLI&issuedby=HOU",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 3.19,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 102,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "august",
        "houston",
        "houston temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TG93JJPNZ4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}