{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1KW0RT265",
  "slug": "kxhightphx-26aug04",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Phoenix on August 4, 2026 exceed 120°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "phoenix-weather",
    "temperature-extreme",
    "august-2026",
    "heat-threshold",
    "noaa-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report maximum temperature reading for August 4, 2026. Six mutually exclusive Kalshi contracts span discrete Fahrenheit tiers from below 109° through above 116°, forming a full probability distribution over the temperature range. Together they price the rate level, not a directional outcome, allowing traders to express views across specific strike thresholds. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract against the official NWS Phoenix daily climatological report.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8FPJQKTZG6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.65,
    "implied_probability": 0.65
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KS76L1GSB1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1KW0RT265",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26AUG04-T109",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be <109° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "108° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "108° or below: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines maximum temperature outcome; Kalshi staff resolves by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Aug 4, 2026, is less than 109° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1995.48,
      "volume_total_usd": 2147.86,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 109,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8FPJQKTZG6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1KW0RT265",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26AUG04-B109.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 109-110° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "109° to 110°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "109° to 110°: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines maximum temperature outcome; Kalshi staff resolves by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Aug 4, 2026, is between 109-110° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.65,
      "implied_probability": 0.65,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3992.68,
      "volume_total_usd": 4141.67,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 110,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B6PLFKXKF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1KW0RT265",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26AUG04-B111.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 111-112° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "111° to 112°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "111° to 112°: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines maximum temperature outcome; Kalshi staff resolves by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Aug 4, 2026, is between 111-112° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1901.46,
      "volume_total_usd": 2041.36,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 112,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8CQHL52QL1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1KW0RT265",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26AUG04-B113.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 113-114° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "113° to 114°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "113° to 114°: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines maximum temperature outcome; Kalshi staff resolves by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Aug 4, 2026, is between 113-114° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 125.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 129.78,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 114,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NFN4469X26",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1KW0RT265",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26AUG04-B115.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 115-116° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "115° to 116°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "115° to 116°: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines maximum temperature outcome; Kalshi staff resolves by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Aug 4, 2026, is between 115-116° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 36.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 36.71,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 116,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DGC1BTM2J0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-G1KW0RT265",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26AUG04-T116",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be >116° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "117° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "117° or above: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for August 4, 2026 determines maximum temperature outcome; Kalshi staff resolves by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Aug 4, 2026, is greater than 116° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4.17,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.96,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 116,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-G1KW0RT265",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}