{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NCB797YW2",
  "slug": "kxhightphx-26jul23",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in Phoenix on July 23, 2026 exceed 120°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-prediction",
    "temperature-record",
    "phoenix-arizona",
    "summer-2026",
    "extreme-heat"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report maximum temperature on July 23, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six discrete temperature tiers, spanning below 106°F to above 113°F. Together the tiers form a mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive probability distribution over the day's peak reading. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract against the official NWS Phoenix report.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q3YXJD0V84",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.5,
    "implied_probability": 0.5
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8JF285NTR0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NCB797YW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26JUL23-T106",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be <106° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "105° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "105° or below: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for July 23, 2026 determines maximum temperature, with Kalshi staff resolving by July 24, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 23, 2026, is less than 106° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11.62,
      "volume_total_usd": 12.16,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 106,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CBWGD7H3P0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NCB797YW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26JUL23-B106.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 106-107° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "106° to 107°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "106° to 107°: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for July 23, 2026 determines maximum temperature, with Kalshi staff resolving by July 24, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 23, 2026, is between 106-107° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22.62,
      "volume_total_usd": 23.28,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 107,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7T39ZZGR78",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NCB797YW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26JUL23-B108.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 108-109° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "108° to 109°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "108° to 109°: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for July 23, 2026 determines maximum temperature, with Kalshi staff resolving by July 24, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 23, 2026, is between 108-109° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 38.3,
      "volume_total_usd": 38.94,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 109,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LMFDYTRPG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NCB797YW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26JUL23-B110.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 110-111° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "110° to 111°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "110° to 111°: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for July 23, 2026 determines maximum temperature, with Kalshi staff resolving by July 24, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 23, 2026, is between 110-111° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 141.61,
      "volume_total_usd": 143.99,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 111,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-04SHHYZQ21",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NCB797YW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26JUL23-B112.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 112-113° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "112° to 113°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "112° to 113°: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for July 23, 2026 determines maximum temperature, with Kalshi staff resolving by July 24, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 23, 2026, is between 112-113° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6539.77,
      "volume_total_usd": 7087.27,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 113,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q3YXJD0V84",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2NCB797YW2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTPHX-26JUL23-T113",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be >113° on Jul 23, 2026?",
      "description": "114° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "114° or above: National Weather Service Phoenix Climatological Report for July 23, 2026 determines maximum temperature, with Kalshi staff resolving by July 24, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-24T07:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-24T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at Phoenix for Jul 23, 2026, is greater than 113° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLIPHX can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=psr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"Phoenix, AZ\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report Phoenix",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8465.93,
      "volume_total_usd": 9804.99,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 113,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "phoenix",
        "phoenix maximum temperature",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-2NCB797YW2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}