{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBQS5M2XP9",
  "slug": "kxhightsfo-26aug04",
  "question": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 4, 2026 exceed 90°F?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "weather-temperature",
    "san-francisco",
    "august-2026",
    "climate-observation",
    "weather-forecast"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the daily maximum temperature in San Francisco on August 4, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six mutually exclusive temperature tiers, spanning below 76°F to above 83°F. All six resolve via Kalshi staff determination using the National Weather Service San Francisco Climatological Report. The NWS report is the authoritative source; Kalshi is a secondary distribution channel.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TPHVK1XK22",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.54,
    "implied_probability": 0.54
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TPHVK1XK22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBQS5M2XP9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26AUG04-T76",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be <76° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "75° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "75° or below: National Weather Service San Francisco Climatological Report for the referenced date resolves the outcome via Kalshi staff determination by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Aug 4, 2026, is less than 76° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.54,
      "implied_probability": 0.54,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5908.96,
      "volume_total_usd": 6306.08,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 76,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LDCNYXFTN6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBQS5M2XP9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26AUG04-B76.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "76° to 77°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "76° to 77°: National Weather Service San Francisco Climatological Report for the referenced date resolves the outcome via Kalshi staff determination by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Aug 4, 2026, is between 76-77° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 940.26,
      "volume_total_usd": 967.68,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 77,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XC8N5W4TN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBQS5M2XP9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26AUG04-B78.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "78° to 79°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "78° to 79°: National Weather Service San Francisco Climatological Report for the referenced date resolves the outcome via Kalshi staff determination by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Aug 4, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 719.92,
      "volume_total_usd": 734.94,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 79,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P6KC461J02",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBQS5M2XP9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26AUG04-B80.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "80° to 81°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "80° to 81°: National Weather Service San Francisco Climatological Report for the referenced date resolves the outcome via Kalshi staff determination by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Aug 4, 2026, is between 80-81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 121.93,
      "volume_total_usd": 122.73,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 81,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RHTVS8VDC0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBQS5M2XP9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26AUG04-B82.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 82-83° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "82° to 83°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "82° to 83°: National Weather Service San Francisco Climatological Report for the referenced date resolves the outcome via Kalshi staff determination by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Aug 4, 2026, is between 82-83° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 19.18,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 83,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VFJ9GPVZZ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-LBQS5M2XP9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26AUG04-T83",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be >83° on Aug 4, 2026?",
      "description": "84° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "84° or above: National Weather Service San Francisco Climatological Report for the referenced date resolves the outcome via Kalshi staff determination by August 5, 2026 at 7 p.m. UTC.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T19:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Aug 4, 2026, is greater than 83° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 63,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.69,
      "volume_total_usd": 15.73,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 83,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-LBQS5M2XP9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}