{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-99BZM0NWZ4",
  "slug": "kxhightsfo-26jun12",
  "question": "Will the maximum temperature be >81° on Jun 12, 2026?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "weather-temperature",
    "san-francisco",
    "climate",
    "june-2026",
    "daily-high",
    "weather-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These six Kalshi markets collectively price the daily high temperature in San Francisco on June 12, 2026. The structure is a discrete probability distribution across six mutually exclusive temperature tiers, from sub-74°F through 82°F-plus. Together they imply a full market-implied density curve over the day's peak reading. Kalshi staff determination resolves each tier against the National Weather Service Climatological Report published by June 13, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7K0ZFKK3Y3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L7K90TLRX5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-99BZM0NWZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26JUN12-T74",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be <74° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "73° or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "73° or below: National Weather Service Climatological Report for San Francisco on June 12, 2026, published by June 13, 2026, determines if maximum temperature meets or exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 12, 2026, is less than 74° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 227.98,
      "volume_total_usd": 242.14,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 74,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-85FX62ZJF1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-99BZM0NWZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26JUN12-B74.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "74° to 75°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "74° to 75°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for San Francisco on June 12, 2026, published by June 13, 2026, determines if maximum temperature meets or exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 12, 2026, is between 74-75° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 116.18,
      "volume_total_usd": 124.35,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 75,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-74LXR04CK2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-99BZM0NWZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26JUN12-B76.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 76-77° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "76° to 77°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "76° to 77°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for San Francisco on June 12, 2026, published by June 13, 2026, determines if maximum temperature meets or exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 12, 2026, is between 76-77° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 436.24,
      "volume_total_usd": 461.44,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 77,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-730ZMPKZF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-99BZM0NWZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26JUN12-B78.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "78° to 79°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "78° to 79°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for San Francisco on June 12, 2026, published by June 13, 2026, determines if maximum temperature meets or exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 12, 2026, is between 78-79° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 340.96,
      "volume_total_usd": 369.45,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 79,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9ZPJN6LS82",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-99BZM0NWZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26JUN12-B80.5",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "80° to 81°",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "80° to 81°: National Weather Service Climatological Report for San Francisco on June 12, 2026, published by June 13, 2026, determines if maximum temperature meets or exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 12, 2026, is between 80-81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1643.19,
      "volume_total_usd": 1705.19,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 81,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7K0ZFKK3Y3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-99BZM0NWZ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIGHTSFO-26JUN12-T81",
      "question": "Will the maximum temperature be >81° on Jun 12, 2026?",
      "description": "82° or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "82° or above: National Weather Service Climatological Report for San Francisco on June 12, 2026, published by June 13, 2026, determines if maximum temperature meets or exceeds threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-13T08:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco for Jun 12, 2026, is greater than 81° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nData for CLISFO can be found by clicking the following URL: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=mtr, navigating to the \"Observed Weather\" tab, and choosing the location \"San Francisco Airport\" with Daily Climate Report selected. Please use the latest version of the data for the desired date, keeping in mind that different cities update their reports at different frequencies.\n\nNot all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report San Francisco",
            "url": "https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "NWS Climatological Report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 12102.32,
      "volume_total_usd": 12431.72,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 81,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "san francisco",
        "san francisco maximum",
        "temperature",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L7K90TLRX5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T11:31:43.476756Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-85FX62ZJF1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T11:31:43.476756Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-74LXR04CK2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-13T11:31:43.476756Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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