{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
  "slug": "kxhims-26augsubs",
  "question": "Will Hims have more subscribers in Q2 than in Q1?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "hims-and-hers",
    "subscriber-metrics",
    "q2-2026",
    "telehealth",
    "financial-reporting"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Hims & Hers Health subscriber count reported in the Q2 2026 earnings announcement. Kalshi structures all fifteen contracts as binary strike thresholds spanning 2.60 million to 3.04 million subscribers. Each strike resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination, forming a implied probability distribution across the subscriber range. The authoritative source is the company's own earnings disclosure, not third-party estimates.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-BCC6QL5520",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.73,
    "implied_probability": 0.73,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6FZH0N4B31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2600000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.6 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.6 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.6 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2600000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.91,
      "implied_probability": 0.91,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 251.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 4212.64,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2600000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D03337FB82",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "q2-2026",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P844L1VNP3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2620000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.62 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.62 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.62 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2620000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1756.86,
      "volume_total_usd": 11095.45,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2620000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7FEF8828A4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "q2-2026",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4S4SJF2GN1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2640000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.64 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.64 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.64 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2640000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1577.71,
      "volume_total_usd": 8006.89,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2640000,
      "question_id": "CMX-657F30927E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "q2-2026",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6HNK716GW3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2660000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.66 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.66 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.66 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2660000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 420.84,
      "volume_total_usd": 7383.34,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2660000,
      "question_id": "CMX-ACA0034DA9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "q2-2026",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KZVRW0Z5Y7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2680000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.68 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.68 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.68 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2680000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.8,
      "implied_probability": 0.8,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 240,
      "volume_total_usd": 7872.27,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2680000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E337948B8C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "q2-2026",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0P16W1KK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2700000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.7 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.7 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.7 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2700000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.81,
      "implied_probability": 0.81,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 460.01,
      "volume_total_usd": 8167.77,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2700000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5CE0ED8BC6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "q2-2026",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BCC6QL5520",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2720000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.72 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.72 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.72 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2720000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.73,
      "implied_probability": 0.73,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 281.78,
      "volume_total_usd": 11509.22,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2720000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D851FF7144",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "q2-2026",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "under_min_maturity"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-38Q8GWHSV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-2760000",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.76 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.76 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.76 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports Above 2760000 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.65,
      "implied_probability": 0.65,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 30.85,
      "volume_total_usd": 1958.17,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2760000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3BACB4511",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "q2-2026",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-50WRLTS0J8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-2800000",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.80 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.80 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.80 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports Above 2800000 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_type": null,
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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