{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
  "slug": "kxhims-26augsubs",
  "question": "Hims & Hers subscribers, Q2 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      2840000,
      2880000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 2600000,
        "prob": 94
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2620000,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2640000,
        "prob": 95
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2660000,
        "prob": 92
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2680000,
        "prob": 90
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2700000,
        "prob": 86
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2720000,
        "prob": 83
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2760000,
        "prob": 73
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2800000,
        "prob": 65
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2840000,
        "prob": 54
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2880000,
        "prob": 23
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2920000,
        "prob": 15
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2960000,
        "prob": 8
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3000000,
        "prob": 8
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3040000,
        "prob": 3
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "hims-hers",
    "subscriber-growth",
    "q2-2026",
    "telehealth",
    "financial-metrics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Hims & Hers Health's Q2 2026 subscriber count as reported in its quarterly earnings announcement. Kalshi structures the event as a ladder of 15 binary strike thresholds, ranging from 2.60 million to 3.04 million, each asking whether the reported figure exceeds a discrete level. Reading across the implied probability curve reveals the market's consensus distribution for the subscriber count outcome. All 15 markets resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the company's official earnings disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B7THMYLZ47",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.11,
    "implied_probability": 0.11
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6FZH0N4B31",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2600000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.6 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.6 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.6 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2600000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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          {
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2842.08,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2600000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D03337FB82",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "healthcare",
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "subscribers",
        "telehealth"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "review",
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            "category_interpretation_s1"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P844L1VNP3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2620000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.62 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.62 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.62 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2620000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.97,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2620000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7FEF8828A4",
      "also_on": null,
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        "hims",
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        "telehealth"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4S4SJF2GN1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2640000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.64 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.64 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.64 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2640000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2640000,
      "question_id": "CMX-657F30927E",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6HNK716GW3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2660000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.66 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.66 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.66 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2660000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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          {
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.92,
      "implied_probability": 0.92,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7602.594800000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2660000,
      "question_id": "CMX-ACA0034DA9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "healthcare",
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "subscribers",
        "telehealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KZVRW0Z5Y7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2680000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.68 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.68 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.68 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2680000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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      "threshold": 2680000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E337948B8C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "healthcare",
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
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        "telehealth"
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y0P16W1KK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2700000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.7 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.7 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.7 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2700000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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        "score": 72,
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      "last_price": 0.83,
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      "threshold": 2700000,
      "question_id": "CMX-5CE0ED8BC6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BCC6QL5520",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-P2720000.0",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report above 2.72 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.72 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.72 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports above 2720000.0 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        "grade": "C",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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        "healthcare",
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "subscribers",
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        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "bucket": null,
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-38Q8GWHSV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-2760000",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.76 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.76 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2.76 million: The listed company's Q2 2026 subscriber count, reported in its earnings announcement, resolves via Fiscal.ai by September 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-02T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Hims & Hers Health Inc. reports Above 2760000 subscribers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.54,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2760000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E3BACB4511",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "healthcare",
        "hims",
        "hims hers health",
        "subscribers",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "bucket": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-50WRLTS0J8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NLN3SJ41C7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHIMS-26AUGSUBS-2800000",
      "question": "Will Hims & Hers Health Inc. report Above 2.80 million subscribers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "Above 2.80 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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