{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKK5DR0KV2",
  "slug": "kxhmonth-26jul",
  "question": "Will July 2026 be the hottest July ever?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "climate-records",
    "temperature-extremes",
    "july-2026",
    "global-heat",
    "meteorological-data"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether July 2026 sets a new global temperature record. NOAA NCEI is the authoritative publisher of the historical anomaly ranking. Kalshi staff determination resolves the binary outcome against that record. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform contrast applies.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4TJ3DV85C0",
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    "implied_probability": 0.22
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4TJ3DV85C0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TKK5DR0KV2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHMONTH-26JUL",
      "question": "Will  Jul 2026 be the hottest Jul ever?",
      "description": "Hottest ever",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "NOAA NCEI publishes whether July 2026 global temperature anomaly ranks as the highest in its historical record.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-16T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Jul 2026 is the hottest July ever, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "NCEI",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "NCEI",
            "url": "https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/global/time-series",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "NCEI",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 172.172,
      "volume_total_usd": 11779.6954,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "climate",
        "july",
        "july global temperature",
        "record",
        "temperature"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TKK5DR0KV2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}