{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QHYZG7JK22",
  "slug": "kxhood-26julfunded",
  "question": "Robinhood funded customers, July 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      28000000,
      null
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 27500000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 27600000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 27700000,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 27800000,
        "prob": 98
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      {
        "threshold": 27900000,
        "prob": 89
      },
      {
        "threshold": 28000000,
        "prob": 52
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    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "robinhood",
    "funded-customers",
    "q2-2026",
    "financial-metrics",
    "user-growth"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Robinhood Markets' funded customer count reported for Q2 2026. Kalshi structures the event as six discrete strike thresholds, from 27.5 million to 28.0 million, each a binary yes/no. Together they form an implied probability distribution over the reported count. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract against Robinhood's official earnings filings or investor documents.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6WDPK46X67",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.51,
    "implied_probability": 0.51
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WK355KR9S0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QHYZG7JK22",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26JULFUNDED-P27500000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 27.5 million funded customers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 27.5 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 27.5 million: Robinhood Markets' Q2 2026 funded customer count, disclosed in earnings filings or investor documents, determines resolution by Kalshi staff on August 28, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-28T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-28T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 27500000.0 funded customers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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          {
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4826.2005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 27500000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6ABFD9BDCA",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "customers",
        "q2-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood markets funded"
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        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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        }
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2XYLW9XN89",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QHYZG7JK22",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26JULFUNDED-P27600000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 27.6 million funded customers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 27.6 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 27.6 million: Robinhood Markets' Q2 2026 funded customer count, disclosed in earnings filings or investor documents, determines resolution by Kalshi staff on August 28, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-28T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-28T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 27600000.0 funded customers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 12166.9911,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 27600000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B724052B26",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "customers",
        "q2-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood markets funded"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "bucket": null,
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        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R7WTLJ6DK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QHYZG7JK22",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26JULFUNDED-P27700000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 27.7 million funded customers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 27.7 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 27.7 million: Robinhood Markets' Q2 2026 funded customer count, disclosed in earnings filings or investor documents, determines resolution by Kalshi staff on August 28, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-28T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-28T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 27700000.0 funded customers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.97,
      "implied_probability": 0.97,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.1542999999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 40699.26,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 27700000,
      "question_id": "CMX-55D8701270",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "customers",
        "q2-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood markets funded"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GWN9LMT2S8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QHYZG7JK22",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26JULFUNDED-P27800000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 27.8 million funded customers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 27.8 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 27.8 million: Robinhood Markets' Q2 2026 funded customer count, disclosed in earnings filings or investor documents, determines resolution by Kalshi staff on August 28, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-28T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-28T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 27800000.0 funded customers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
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      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-E7473749A0",
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      "tags": [
        "customers",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GR04G5J5Z1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QHYZG7JK22",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26JULFUNDED-P27900000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report above 27.9 million funded customers in Q2 2026?",
      "description": "above 27.9 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "above 27.9 million: Robinhood Markets' Q2 2026 funded customer count, disclosed in earnings filings or investor documents, determines resolution by Kalshi staff on August 28, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-28T20:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports above 27900000.0 funded customers in Q2 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "underlying_reference": "above 28 million: Robinhood Markets' Q2 2026 funded customer count, disclosed in earnings filings or investor documents, determines resolution by Kalshi staff on August 28, 2026.",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-QHYZG7JK22",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}