{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
  "slug": "kxhood-26novgoldsubs",
  "question": "Will Robinhood Gold subscriptions increase in Q3?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "robinhood-gold",
    "subscription-metrics",
    "q3-2026",
    "financial-reporting",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Robinhood Markets Inc. Gold subscriber count reported for Q3 2026. Kalshi structures eight strike thresholds from 4.8 million to 5.5 million, each a binary outcome at a discrete level. Together they imply a market-derived probability distribution over the subscriber range. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination, sourced via Fiscal.ai against Robinhood's official Q3 2026 earnings disclosure.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-95XMT4G5S3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F774CVRCD4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26NOVGOLDSUBS-4800000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 4.8 million gold subs in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.8 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.8 million: The listed company's Q3 2026 gold subscriber count, per Fiscal.ai and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by March 4, 2027, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 4800000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2337.46,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4800000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2B2D6C60DB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gold",
        "hood",
        "q3-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood gold subscribers",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-95XMT4G5S3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26NOVGOLDSUBS-4900000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 4.9 million gold subs in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 4.9 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 4.9 million: The listed company's Q3 2026 gold subscriber count, per Fiscal.ai and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by March 4, 2027, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 4900000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4227.37,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4900000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DBADF0C6FF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gold",
        "hood",
        "q3-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood gold subscribers",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RT378BHX43",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26NOVGOLDSUBS-5000000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5 million gold subs in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5 million: The listed company's Q3 2026 gold subscriber count, per Fiscal.ai and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by March 4, 2027, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5000000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.85,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E15471D629",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gold",
        "hood",
        "q3-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood gold subscribers",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5V19RYXX98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26NOVGOLDSUBS-5100000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5.1 million gold subs in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5.1 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.1 million: The listed company's Q3 2026 gold subscriber count, per Fiscal.ai and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by March 4, 2027, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5100000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.72,
      "implied_probability": 0.72,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 10.86,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5100000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1FDC1593E2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gold",
        "hood",
        "q3-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood gold subscribers",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7X3XZ1DG36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26NOVGOLDSUBS-5200000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5.2 million gold subs in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5.2 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.2 million: The listed company's Q3 2026 gold subscriber count, per Fiscal.ai and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by March 4, 2027, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5200000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.97,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5200000,
      "question_id": "CMX-54B123DB31",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gold",
        "hood",
        "q3-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood gold subscribers",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MPTCZKQMW1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26NOVGOLDSUBS-5300000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5.3 million gold subs in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5.3 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.3 million: The listed company's Q3 2026 gold subscriber count, per Fiscal.ai and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by March 4, 2027, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5300000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
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          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 31.12,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5300000,
      "question_id": "CMX-88ADD472B0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gold",
        "hood",
        "q3-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood gold subscribers",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T0TS6DDHN9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26NOVGOLDSUBS-5400000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5.4 million gold subs in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5.4 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.4 million: The listed company's Q3 2026 gold subscriber count, per Fiscal.ai and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by March 4, 2027, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5400000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_type": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.23,
      "implied_probability": 0.23,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11.3,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5400000,
      "question_id": "CMX-93044C831B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gold",
        "hood",
        "q3-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood gold subscribers",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2R2L6RHQ23",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOOD-26NOVGOLDSUBS-5500000.0",
      "question": "Will Robinhood Markets Inc. report Above 5.5 million gold subs in Q3 2026?",
      "description": "Above 5.5 million",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 5.5 million: The listed company's Q3 2026 gold subscriber count, per Fiscal.ai and confirmed by Kalshi staff determination by March 4, 2027, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-03-04T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 5500000.0 gold subs in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Fiscal.ai",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://fiscal.ai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Fiscal.ai",
            "url": "https://fiscal.ai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Fiscal.ai",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 72,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2.96,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 5500000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D51FD38601",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "gold",
        "hood",
        "q3-2026",
        "robinhood",
        "robinhood gold subscribers",
        "subscribers"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0852H0SWG5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}