{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JR1WTQ5JH0",
  "slug": "kxhormuzavg-27jan01",
  "question": "Will average weekly Hormuz traffic reach a specific level in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "hormuz-strait",
    "shipping-logistics",
    "geopolitical-risk",
    "middle-east",
    "maritime-traffic"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the peak 7-day moving average of vessel transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz in 2026. IMF PortWatch is the authoritative data source; Kalshi staff determination governs resolution. Nine strike thresholds span 40 to 120 calls, structuring a continuous traffic range as discrete binary layers. Each tier resolves independently, letting traders express a precise traffic ceiling view rather than a directional outcome.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QQV9NH06S4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.33,
    "implied_probability": 0.33
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L25PTWHCL2",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZAVG-27JAN01-A40",
      "question": "Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?",
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        "rules_raw": "If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "question": "Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 70 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question": "Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 80 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "hormuz",
        "imf-portwatch",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "transit"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-JR1WTQ5JH0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}