{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
  "slug": "kxhormuzweekly-26jul26",
  "question": "Transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      50,
      60
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 20,
        "prob": 95
      },
      {
        "threshold": 30,
        "prob": 84
      },
      {
        "threshold": 40,
        "prob": 66
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50,
        "prob": 53
      },
      {
        "threshold": 60,
        "prob": 27
      },
      {
        "threshold": 70,
        "prob": 12
      },
      {
        "threshold": 80,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 90,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 150,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "strait-of-hormuz",
    "shipping-traffic",
    "middle-east-geopolitics",
    "weekly-metric",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track weekly vessel transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from July 20 to July 26, 2026. Kalshi structures the event as ten discrete strike thresholds, from 20 to 150 transits, each resolving as an independent binary. The implied distribution across strikes lets traders express a point-in-range view on throughput volume. Kalshi staff determine outcomes using IMF PortWatch chokepoint data as the authoritative count source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WP4DZ5Y7F8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.07,
    "implied_probability": 0.07
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8KPWRFFGT1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T20",
      "question": "Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 20",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 20: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1332.24,
      "volume_total_usd": 9461.76,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4Q4GZ1W9Q3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T30",
      "question": "Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 30",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 30: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3324.8086,
      "volume_total_usd": 13000.381300000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 30,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CSSC6R27D0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T40",
      "question": "Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 40",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 40: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.5,
      "implied_probability": 0.5,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1946.465,
      "volume_total_usd": 13374.005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MTX60NLLZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T50",
      "question": "Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 50",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 50: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7819.3436,
      "volume_total_usd": 22839.7768,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WP4DZ5Y7F8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T60",
      "question": "Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 60",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 60: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 608.3329,
      "volume_total_usd": 2519.1775000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M95908RK99",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T70",
      "question": "Will there be more than 70 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 70",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 70: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 70 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.0926,
      "volume_total_usd": 317.8698,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 70,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9R2PGW1RN0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T80",
      "question": "Will there be more than 80 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 80",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 80: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 80 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.8207999999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 107.47840000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H9X666XX62",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T90",
      "question": "Will there be more than 90 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 90",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 90: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 90 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7.429,
      "volume_total_usd": 154.6244,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 90,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-43VJ71F662",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T100",
      "question": "Will there be more than 100 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 100",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 100: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 100 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20.4161,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3V2BJWVG93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T150",
      "question": "Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026?",
      "description": "Above 150",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 150: Kalshi staff determination based on IMF PortWatch data for transit counts through the referenced chokepoint during the specified week, resolved by October 26, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-26T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "IMF PortWatch",
            "url": "https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "IMF PortWatch",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 97,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.304500000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 150,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "geopolitics",
        "shipping",
        "strait hormuz transit",
        "strait_of_hormuz"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-ZP6006CHN9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}