{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5N284MBCR2",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-ca16-26",
  "question": "Will the winner of the CA-16 House race be determined by January 4, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-2026",
    "california-politics",
    "congressional-election",
    "electoral-outcome",
    "ca-16"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the party winner of the CA-16 U.S. House race, resolving by January 4, 2027. Both markets are listed on Kalshi, structured as paired binary contracts on Democratic and Republican outcomes. Kalshi staff determination applies to both, referencing official certified election results. The two contracts are complementary: long Democratic and short Republican express the same directional view.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-77VVS3SR99",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.942,
    "implied_probability": 0.942
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-77VVS3SR99",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5N284MBCR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-CA16-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for CA-16?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate's party affiliation resolves according to official election results certified by the Library of Congress and confirmed by Kalshi staff by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for CA-16 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.942,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8834.076,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ca-16",
        "california district 16",
        "democratic",
        "house"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5N284MBCR2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-CA16-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for CA-16?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate's party affiliation resolves according to official election results certified by the Library of Congress and confirmed by Kalshi staff by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for CA-16 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5N284MBCR2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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