{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZBB2QLC94",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-ca33-26",
  "question": "CA-33 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2027-election",
    "california-politics",
    "us-house-race",
    "ca-33-district",
    "electoral-outcome"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the partisan outcome of the CA-33 U.S. House race, resolving in January 2027. Both markets are listed on Kalshi and price the same seat from opposite directions. One asks whether the Democrat wins; the other asks whether the Republican wins. Kalshi staff determination governs resolution, referencing House of Representatives official seat records.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-PTK6HQDXZ6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.935
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PTK6HQDXZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZBB2QLC94",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-CA33-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for CA-33?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate's party wins if their party holds the seat according to the House of Representatives official results published by the Library of Congress by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for CA-33 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 5400.56,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "house"
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DZBB2QLC94",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-CA33-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for CA-33?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate's party wins if their party holds the seat according to the House of Representatives official results published by the Library of Congress by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for CA-33 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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      "volume_total_usd": 16.932000000000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "election",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-DZBB2QLC94",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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