{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZL5K2GKF0",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-co04-26",
  "question": "CO-04 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "colorado-politics",
    "2026-midterms",
    "electoral-prediction",
    "congressional-district"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Colorado 4th Congressional District House race. Both markets are listed on Kalshi, pricing opposite partisan outcomes for the same seat. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract via Library of Congress confirmation of the elected representative. The resolve date of January 4, 2027 aligns with the congressional seating deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G12XWS9XF6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.69,
    "implied_probability": 0.69
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-65C5X7HPD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZL5K2GKF0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-CO04-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for CO-04?",
      "description": "Eileen Laubacher",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Eileen Laubacher: The Library of Congress will confirm the elected representative for the referenced House seat by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for CO-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 130.3084,
      "volume_total_usd": 4899.876,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "colorado",
        "colorado house district",
        "democrat",
        "eileen-laubacher",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G12XWS9XF6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GZL5K2GKF0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-CO04-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for CO-04?",
      "description": "Lauren Boebert",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lauren Boebert: The Library of Congress will confirm the elected representative for the referenced House seat by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for CO-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.69,
      "implied_probability": 0.69,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5317.0848,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "colorado",
        "colorado house district",
        "lauren-boebert",
        "republican",
        "us-house"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GZL5K2GKF0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}