{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SNKL9MXY04",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-fl05-26",
  "question": "FL-05 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "florida-politics",
    "2026-midterms",
    "election-prediction",
    "congressional-race"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the FL-05 U.S. House race, resolving by January 4, 2027. Kalshi lists separate binary contracts for the Democratic and Republican outcomes. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination against official results certified by Florida's state election authority. Implied probabilities across the two contracts should sum to approximately 100%, net of any third-party candidacy risk.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-4LCMHYFRH7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.939,
    "implied_probability": 0.939
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9FVPLLXCD6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SNKL9MXY04",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-FL05-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for FL-05?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: Official House election results certified by the relevant state election authority and verified through the Library of Congress shall resolve this market by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for FL-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.061,
      "implied_probability": 0.061,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 203.68937,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SNKL9MXY04",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-FL05-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for FL-05?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: Official House election results certified by the relevant state election authority and verified through the Library of Congress shall resolve this market by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for FL-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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      "volume_total_usd": 7607.00802,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SNKL9MXY04",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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