{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M1DDHCJQG2",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-fl10-26",
  "question": "Will the winner of the Florida House District 10 election be determined by January 4, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-2026",
    "florida-politics",
    "electoral-prediction",
    "congressional-race",
    "partisan-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks the winner of Florida's 10th Congressional District House race. Both markets are listed on Kalshi and price the binary outcome for each major party separately. Taken together, their implied probabilities sum to a two-horse contest. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination, referencing Library of Congress election records.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8CV7JC3KS3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.952,
    "implied_probability": 0.952
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8CV7JC3KS3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M1DDHCJQG2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-FL10-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for FL-10?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate's party wins if the Library of Congress records their election to the referenced House seat by January 4, 2027, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for FL-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.952,
      "implied_probability": 0.952,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11334.38824,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "fl-10",
        "florida house district",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K19TD21W26",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M1DDHCJQG2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-FL10-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for FL-10?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate's party wins if the Library of Congress records their election to the referenced House seat by January 4, 2027, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for FL-10 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.032,
      "implied_probability": 0.032,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 742.97664,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fl-10",
        "florida house district",
        "house",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-M1DDHCJQG2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}