{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q8F4815M66",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-fl25-26",
  "question": "Will the Florida 25th House seat be won in the next election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "florida-politics",
    "2026-midterm",
    "election-outcome",
    "swing-district"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of Florida's 25th Congressional District House race. The Democratic and Republican markets are complementary binary contracts; together they price the full two-party outcome. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination, referencing Library of Congress party-affiliation records for the elected representative. Resolution is set for January 4, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VFQC82B877",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.63,
    "implied_probability": 0.63
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VFQC82B877",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q8F4815M66",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-FL25-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for FL-25?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate wins if the Library of Congress records their party affiliation as elected representative for the referenced district following the 2026 general election, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for FL-25 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.63,
      "implied_probability": 0.63,
      "volume_24h_usd": 28.35,
      "volume_total_usd": 4234.318200000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "fl-25",
        "florida house district",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J7P9W3CM58",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Q8F4815M66",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-FL25-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for FL-25?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate wins if the Library of Congress records their party affiliation as elected representative for the referenced district following the 2026 general election, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for FL-25 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 97.515,
      "volume_total_usd": 3306.2667,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fl-25",
        "florida house district",
        "house",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Q8F4815M66",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}