{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNW4FTXMZ9",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-ia02-26",
  "question": "IA-02 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-2026",
    "iowa-politics",
    "congressional-election",
    "district-02"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the partisan outcome of the Iowa 2nd Congressional District House race. The Democratic and Republican contracts are binary complements: one pays if the Democrat wins, the other pays if the Republican wins. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination, referencing Library of Congress certification. Both markets are resolved, settled as of January 4, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YMC1JWR039",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.61,
    "implied_probability": 0.61
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RDQGHBMJV7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNW4FTXMZ9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-IA02-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for IA-02?",
      "description": "Lindsay James",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lindsay James: The Library of Congress will confirm which party's candidate won the Iowa District 2 House race, resolved by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for IA-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2440.33,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "democratic",
        "house",
        "ia-02",
        "iowa 2nd district"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YMC1JWR039",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RNW4FTXMZ9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-IA02-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for IA-02?",
      "description": "Joe Mitchell",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Joe Mitchell: The Library of Congress will confirm which party's candidate won the Iowa District 2 House race, resolved by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for IA-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.61,
      "implied_probability": 0.61,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3047.22,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "house",
        "ia-02",
        "iowa 2nd district",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RNW4FTXMZ9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}