{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C5DB57KB30",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-ia04-26",
  "question": "Will the winner of the Iowa's 4th congressional district House election be determined by January 4, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "iowa-politics",
    "2026-midterms",
    "congressional-races",
    "electoral-predictions"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the Iowa 4th Congressional District House race. Both markets are listed on Kalshi and price opposite partisan outcomes for the same seat. Kalshi staff determination references Library of Congress certification of the state-certified winner. The markets resolve by January 4, 2027, ahead of the November 2027 close date.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SD0JY9NPH6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.918,
    "implied_probability": 0.918
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X7HQXV0S88",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C5DB57KB30",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-IA04-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for IA-04?",
      "description": "Dave Dawson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dave Dawson: The Library of Congress records the winner of the referenced House race as certified by state election officials, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.092,
      "implied_probability": 0.092,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 117.74803999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "democrat",
        "house",
        "ia-04",
        "iowa house district"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C5DB57KB30",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-IA04-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for IA-04?",
      "description": "Chris McGowan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Chris McGowan: The Library of Congress records the winner of the referenced House race as certified by state election officials, resolved by Kalshi staff determination by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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      "volume_total_usd": 6090.38838,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "house",
        "ia-04",
        "iowa house district",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C5DB57KB30",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}