{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGHBXQVB54",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-mi01-26",
  "question": "Will a winner be determined in the MI-01 House race by January 4, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-races",
    "michigan-politics",
    "2026-midterms",
    "electoral-prediction",
    "house-district-01"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the MI-01 U.S. House race, resolving by January 4, 2027. Kalshi lists separate binary contracts for Democratic and Republican victory. Both sides of the same outcome trade as mirror contracts, so prices should sum to approximately one. Party affiliation resolves via Library of Congress official records, with Kalshi staff determination as the settlement mechanism.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VSQMR4TZ69",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.901,
    "implied_probability": 0.901
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BN1FH821G4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGHBXQVB54",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-MI01-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for MI-01?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The named candidate's party affiliation resolves according to the Library of Congress official records by January 4, 2027, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for MI-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.094,
      "implied_probability": 0.094,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 645.16524,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "democratic",
        "house",
        "mi-01",
        "michigan 1st congressional"
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGHBXQVB54",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-MI01-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for MI-01?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The named candidate's party affiliation resolves according to the Library of Congress official records by January 4, 2027, as determined by Kalshi staff.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for MI-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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      "volume_total_usd": 8841.80132,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-GGHBXQVB54",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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