{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HH4XXLY85",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-mn01-26",
  "question": "Will MN-01 House winner be determined by January 4, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "2026-us-midterms",
    "minnesota-politics",
    "house-races",
    "election-prediction",
    "congressional-district"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2026 general election outcome for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District. Kalshi lists separate binary contracts for each party, priced as complementary outcome probabilities. Both settle via Kalshi staff determination against Library of Congress records of certified election results. Resolution is set for January 4, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-92S2K89BQ3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.71,
    "implied_probability": 0.71,
    "as_of": "2026-09-05T05:00:33.736Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WRK14D0XG6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HH4XXLY85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The Library of Congress records of the named candidate's election outcome, as certified by official results, resolve by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for MN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-06T19:00:47.588Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.948,
      "volume_total_usd": 11522.067,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "house",
        "minnesota 1st congressional",
        "mn-01"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HH4XXLY85",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-MN01-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for MN-01?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The Library of Congress records of the named candidate's election outcome, as certified by official results, resolve by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for MN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.71,
      "implied_probability": 0.71,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T05:00:33.736Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 27675.871,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "house",
        "minnesota 1st congressional",
        "mn-01",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0HH4XXLY85",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}