{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1F7LPV1P19",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-mn05-26",
  "question": "MN-05 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "minnesota-politics",
    "2027-elections",
    "congressional-district-race",
    "election-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2026 general election outcome for Minnesota's 5th Congressional District. Both are Kalshi binary contracts on the same race, structured as opposing directional outcomes. They resolve via Kalshi staff determination against Library of Congress official records. The two contracts are arithmetic complements; combined implied probability should sum to approximately one.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3Z596JKL93",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.919,
    "implied_probability": 0.919
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3Z596JKL93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1F7LPV1P19",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-MN05-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for MN-05?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: The Library of Congress official records of the 2026 general election results, as determined by Kalshi staff by January 4, 2027, resolve whether the named candidate wins the referenced House race.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for MN-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.919,
      "implied_probability": 0.919,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5264.261750000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "democratic",
        "house",
        "minnesota 5th congressional",
        "mn-05"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1F7LPV1P19",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-MN05-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for MN-05?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The Library of Congress official records of the 2026 general election results, as determined by Kalshi staff by January 4, 2027, resolve whether the named candidate wins the referenced House race.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for MN-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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      "volume_total_usd": 41.22754,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "house",
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1F7LPV1P19",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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