{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-BYSK88Q3C2",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-ms02-26",
  "question": "Will the Republican candidate win the Mississippi 2nd Congressional District House election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "mississippi-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "electoral-outcome",
    "partisan-competition"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "The MS-02 House race tracks the winner of Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District general election. Both markets are Kalshi binary contracts pricing the same outcome from opposite directions: one prices a Democratic win, the other prices a Republican win. The cross-platform structural note is absent here; both contracts are Kalshi instruments, each pricing party outcome rather than margin of victory. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using Library of Congress official records, with settlement expected by January 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HGQFYZ4YX4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.927,
    "implied_probability": 0.927
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HGQFYZ4YX4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BYSK88Q3C2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-MS02-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for MS-02?",
      "description": "Bennie Thompson",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Bennie Thompson: The Library of Congress official records will confirm which party's candidate won the House race for the referenced district by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for MS-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.927,
      "implied_probability": 0.927,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11949.61401,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "election-2024",
        "mississippi",
        "ms 02 house",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V1BTTQ8SQ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-BYSK88Q3C2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-MS02-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for MS-02?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: The Library of Congress official records will confirm which party's candidate won the House race for the referenced district by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for MS-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2010.667,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election-2024",
        "mississippi",
        "ms 02 house",
        "republican",
        "us-house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-BYSK88Q3C2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}