{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SJSPWL4F18",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-tn03-26",
  "question": "TN-03 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "tennessee-politics",
    "2026-midterm",
    "election-outcome",
    "congressional-race"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2026 U.S. House general election outcome for Tennessee's 3rd Congressional District. Kalshi lists both the Democratic and Republican candidate separately as binary contracts. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination using Library of Congress records. The two contracts are complementary and should sum to near 100% under a two-party race assumption.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VNT7R249D8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.94
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V2ZHZMN3N5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SJSPWL4F18",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-TN03-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for TN-03?",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's election outcome based on Library of Congress records, resolved by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for TN-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.043,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 6.7509999999999994,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "tennessee house district",
        "tn-03"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SJSPWL4F18",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-TN03-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for TN-03?",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's election outcome based on Library of Congress records, resolved by January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for TN-03 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "screen_version": "v1",
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SJSPWL4F18",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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