{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8ZVLBXP629",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-tx07-26",
  "question": "TX-07 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "texas-politics",
    "tx-07",
    "2026-midterms",
    "congressional-race"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "TX-07 tracks the U.S. House general election outcome in Texas's 7th Congressional District. Both markets are Kalshi binary contracts on named candidates, one Democrat and one Republican. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination using Library of Congress records. The two contracts are complementary: together they price the full binary outcome space for the seat.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LV7DWRQND7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.951,
    "implied_probability": 0.951
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LV7DWRQND7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8ZVLBXP629",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-TX07-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for TX-07?",
      "description": "Lizzie Fletcher",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Lizzie Fletcher: Kalshi staff determination based on Library of Congress records will resolve whether the named candidate wins the referenced House race, with deadline January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for TX-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.951,
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      "volume_total_usd": 25451.879279999997,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "democratic",
        "house",
        "tx 07 house",
        "tx-07"
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          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8ZVLBXP629",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-TX07-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for TX-07?",
      "description": "Alexander Hale",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Alexander Hale: Kalshi staff determination based on Library of Congress records will resolve whether the named candidate wins the referenced House race, with deadline January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for TX-07 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-8ZVLBXP629",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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