{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5ZYR281Q33",
  "slug": "kxhouserace-tx08-26",
  "question": "TX-08 House winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "texas-politics",
    "house-races-2026",
    "us-elections",
    "tx-08",
    "electoral-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the partisan outcome of the Texas 8th Congressional District House race. One contract prices a Democratic victory; the other prices a Republican victory. The two contracts are complementary binary positions on the same seat, allowing traders to express directional views on either party. Kalshi staff determination resolves both contracts using the Library of Congress official election record.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-07FXH1VVB6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.951,
    "implied_probability": 0.951
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4F4J7K4HK7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5ZYR281Q33",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-TX08-26-D",
      "question": "Will Democratic win the House race for TX-08?",
      "description": "Laura Jones",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Laura Jones: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's election outcome as recorded by the Library of Congress after the general election, with resolution deadline January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for TX-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Library of Congress",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.036,
      "implied_probability": 0.036,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 119.97359999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "election",
        "house",
        "texas",
        "tx 08 house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-07FXH1VVB6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5ZYR281Q33",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSERACE-TX08-26-R",
      "question": "Will Republican win the House race for TX-08?",
      "description": "Jessica Steinmann",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Jessica Steinmann: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidate's election outcome as recorded by the Library of Congress after the general election, with resolution deadline January 4, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-04T17:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the House member sworn in for TX-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Library of Congress",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.congress.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Library of Congress",
            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.951,
      "implied_probability": 0.951,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 16308.698999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "election",
        "house",
        "republican",
        "texas",
        "tx 08 house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5ZYR281Q33",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}