{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7066ZJ80D5",
  "slug": "kxhousewinstate-scd",
  "question": "How many House seats will Democrats win in South Carolina?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "south-carolina",
    "2026-midterms",
    "democratic-seats",
    "state-elections"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Democratic seat count outcomes in South Carolina's 2026 U.S. House elections. Kalshi structures the event as four mutually exclusive discrete tiers: exactly 0, exactly 1, exactly 2, or more than 2 seats. Together the tiers span the full outcome distribution, letting traders price each threshold independently. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using South Carolina's official electoral authority certification.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-HRVG9CF8S3",
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    "implied_probability": 0.77
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "question": "Will Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina?",
      "description": "0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "0: South Carolina's official electoral authority certifies final House seats won by the named party in the 2026 general election, resolved by Kalshi staff by May 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 717.3838000000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "between",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "democratic house seats",
        "democrats",
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7066ZJ80D5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSEWINSTATE-SCD-E1",
      "question": "Will Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina?",
      "description": "1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "1: South Carolina's official electoral authority certifies final House seats won by the named party in the 2026 general election, resolved by Kalshi staff by May 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election>",
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        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.77,
      "implied_probability": 0.77,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5733.9205,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "democratic house seats",
        "democrats",
        "south-carolina",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2PQH8W1XX2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7066ZJ80D5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSEWINSTATE-SCD-E2",
      "question": "Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina?",
      "description": "2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "2: South Carolina's official electoral authority certifies final House seats won by the named party in the 2026 general election, resolved by Kalshi staff by May 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1631.8583999999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026-election",
        "democratic house seats",
        "democrats",
        "south-carolina",
        "us-house"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q3WHNZ6104",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7066ZJ80D5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSEWINSTATE-SCD-A2",
      "question": "Will Democrats win more than 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina?",
      "description": "Above 2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2: South Carolina's official electoral authority certifies final House seats won by the named party in the 2026 general election, resolved by Kalshi staff by May 13, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-05-13T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-13T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win above 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in South Carolina, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 666.9599999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "democratic house seats",
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}