{
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    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-QR2YGB2ZQ4",
  "slug": "kxhousewinstate-utd",
  "question": "Will Democrats win any House seats in Utah?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-house-elections",
    "utah-politics",
    "2026-midterms",
    "democratic-performance",
    "electoral-outcomes"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Democratic seat counts in Utah's U.S. House delegation following the 2026 midterm elections. Kalshi structures the event as four discrete tiers: exactly 0, exactly 1, exactly 2, or more than 2 seats. Together the tiers form a complete probability distribution across all possible Democratic outcomes. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using certified state election results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G8ZX0HCCT2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.83,
    "implied_probability": 0.83
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QR2YGB2ZQ4",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSEWINSTATE-UTD-E0",
      "question": "Will Democrats win exactly 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?",
      "description": "0",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "0: The named party's seat count in the referenced U.S. House election jurisdiction, as certified by the official state electoral authority, resolves this market by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win 0 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 9.44,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democrat house seats",
        "democrats",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G8ZX0HCCT2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QR2YGB2ZQ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSEWINSTATE-UTD-E1",
      "question": "Will Democrats win exactly 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?",
      "description": "1",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "1: The named party's seat count in the referenced U.S. House election jurisdiction, as certified by the official state electoral authority, resolves this market by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win 1 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5058.849999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "democrat house seats",
        "democrats",
        "house-elections",
        "us-politics",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-677F3SNLC9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QR2YGB2ZQ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSEWINSTATE-UTD-E2",
      "question": "Will Democrats win exactly 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?",
      "description": "2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "2: The named party's seat count in the referenced U.S. House election jurisdiction, as certified by the official state electoral authority, resolves this market by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election>",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official electoral commission or electoral authority responsible for <election>",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5.272,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "democrat house seats",
        "democrats",
        "house-elections",
        "us-politics",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SPVH124FN6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-QR2YGB2ZQ4",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHOUSEWINSTATE-UTD-A2",
      "question": "Will Democrats win more than 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah?",
      "description": "Above 2",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Above 2: The named party's seat count in the referenced U.S. House election jurisdiction, as certified by the official state electoral authority, resolves this market by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Democrats win above 2 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Utah, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nA seat is considered \"won\" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:\nThe time for legal challenges has expired\nChallenges have been resolved\nThe member has taken their seat\n\nParty affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.",
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        "score": 77,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "democrat house seats",
        "democrats",
        "house-elections",
        "us-politics",
        "utah"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-QR2YGB2ZQ4",
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}