{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
  "slug": "kxhurcat-26fausto",
  "question": "Will Hurricane Fausto reach Category 4 or higher?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "tropical-cyclones",
    "atlantic-hurricane-season",
    "hurricane-intensity",
    "weather-prediction",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the peak intensity of Hurricane Fausto on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Each Kalshi contract prices a cumulative threshold: Category 1 resolves YES if Fausto reaches Category 1 or above, Category 5 only if it reaches Category 5. This tiered structure means higher-category contracts are logically nested within lower ones. The National Hurricane Center serves as authoritative source, with Kalshi staff determination settling all contracts by December 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CDJ66PWP33",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CDJ66PWP33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T1",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 1 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 1 or above: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center resolves by December 2, 2026 whether the named storm reaches Category 1 intensity or above.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-02T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
            "url": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NOAA's National Hurricane Center",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5268.027599999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "category 1",
        "fausto",
        "hurricane",
        "hurricane fausto",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JXHGDW8FX1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T2",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 2 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 2 or above: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center resolves by December 2, 2026 whether the named storm reaches Category 1 intensity or above.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-02T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 96 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "NOAA's National Hurricane Center",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 41762.3085,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "category 2",
        "fausto",
        "hurricane",
        "hurricane fausto",
        "weather"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6LCCC4WXN6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T3",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 3 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 3 or above: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center resolves by December 2, 2026 whether the named storm reaches Category 1 intensity or above.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-02T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 111 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 119.08760000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 459.8813,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "category 3",
        "fausto",
        "hurricane",
        "hurricane fausto",
        "weather"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZNCBT792R7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T4",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 4 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 4 or above: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center resolves by December 2, 2026 whether the named storm reaches Category 1 intensity or above.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-02T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 86,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 27.0493,
      "volume_total_usd": 294.5114,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "category 4",
        "fausto",
        "hurricane",
        "hurricane fausto",
        "weather"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N6QSQZWXQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T5",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 5 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 5 or above: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center resolves by December 2, 2026 whether the named storm reaches Category 1 intensity or above.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-02T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 156.58180000000002,
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      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 5,
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      "tags": [
        "category 5",
        "fausto",
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  "resolution_log": [],
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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