{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
  "slug": "kxhurcat-26fausto",
  "question": "Will Hurricane Fausto reach Category 4 or higher?",
  "category": "climate",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "climate",
    "hurricane-fausto",
    "atlantic-hurricane",
    "2026-atlantic-season",
    "weather-prediction",
    "tropical-cyclone"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the peak intensity of Hurricane Fausto on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Kalshi structures the event as five cumulative binary thresholds, each asking whether Fausto reaches Category N or above. Higher-category markets are therefore strictly implied by lower-category resolution. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center official advisories serve as the authoritative source, with Kalshi staff determination applied at resolution in December 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JXHGDW8FX1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99,
    "as_of": null
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CDJ66PWP33",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T1",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 1 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 1 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 1 or above: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center official advisories resolve whether the named hurricane reaches Category 2 intensity or higher by December 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-25T13:40:06Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
            "url": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NOAA's National Hurricane Center",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5268.03,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "category 1",
        "fausto",
        "hurricane",
        "hurricane fausto",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "weather_events"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JXHGDW8FX1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T2",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 2 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 2 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 2 or above: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center official advisories resolve whether the named hurricane reaches Category 2 intensity or higher by December 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-25T13:40:21Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 96 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
            "url": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NOAA's National Hurricane Center",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 41762.31,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "category 2",
        "fausto",
        "hurricane",
        "hurricane fausto",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "weather_events"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6LCCC4WXN6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T3",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 3 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 3 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 3 or above: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center official advisories resolve whether the named hurricane reaches Category 2 intensity or higher by December 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-02T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 111 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
            "url": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NOAA's National Hurricane Center",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T10:00:55.934Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 5.611000000000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 561.0847,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "category 3",
        "fausto",
        "hurricane",
        "hurricane fausto",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "weather_events"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZNCBT792R7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T4",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 4 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 4 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 4 or above: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center official advisories resolve whether the named hurricane reaches Category 2 intensity or higher by December 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-02T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 130 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
            "url": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NOAA's National Hurricane Center",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T10:00:55.934Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 304.8284,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 4,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "category 4",
        "fausto",
        "hurricane",
        "hurricane fausto",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "weather_events"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N6QSQZWXQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXHURCAT-26FAUSTO-T5",
      "question": "Will Fausto become a Category 5 hurricane?",
      "description": "Category 5 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Category 5 or above: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Hurricane Center official advisories resolve whether the named hurricane reaches Category 2 intensity or higher by December 2, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-02T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fausto reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 157 mph according to the NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nShould the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
            "url": "https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NOAA's National Hurricane Center",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-05T10:00:55.934Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 165.9337,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 5,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "category 5",
        "fausto",
        "hurricane",
        "hurricane fausto",
        "weather"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "weather_events"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CDJ66PWP33",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JXHGDW8FX1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-12-02T15:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7J5KLDL137",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}