{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K724YL44P6",
  "slug": "kxiasengovcombo-26nov",
  "question": "Iowa Governor-Senate combo",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "iowa-elections",
    "governor-senate-combo",
    "2027-election",
    "us-politics",
    "democratic-party"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These four Kalshi markets price the joint outcome of the 2027 Iowa gubernatorial and U.S. Senate races. Each contract covers a distinct party-combination pairing: Republican-Republican, Republican-Democrat, Democrat-Republican, or Democrat-Democrat. Taken together, the four contracts must sum to 100%, offering an implied cross-race correlation read. Kalshi staff determination resolves each contract based on named candidates Rob Sand, Josh Turek, Zach Lahn, and Ashley Hinson.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-V3YZZZN110",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.27,
    "implied_probability": 0.27
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P8DTXC3NC9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K724YL44P6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMDEM",
      "question": "Will Iowa Governor winner be Democratic party and Iowa Senate winner be Democratic party?",
      "description": "Rob Sand and Josh Turek win",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rob Sand and Josh Turek win: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidates' party affiliations and election outcomes, verified against official state election results by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Iowa Governor winner: Democratic party, Iowa Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Iowa Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Iowa Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
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            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.33,
      "implied_probability": 0.33,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2329.4501999999998,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "iowa",
        "iowa governor and",
        "senate"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V3YZZZN110",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K724YL44P6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-DEMREP",
      "question": "Will Iowa Governor winner be Democratic party and Iowa Senate winner be Republican party?",
      "description": "Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidates' party affiliations and election outcomes, verified against official state election results by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Iowa Governor winner: Democratic party, Iowa Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Iowa Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Iowa Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
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          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/cpi/",
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          {
            "name": "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "none",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.27,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2546.6346,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K724YL44P6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPDEM",
      "question": "Will Iowa Governor winner be Republican party and Iowa Senate winner be Democratic party?",
      "description": "Zach Lahn and Josh Turek win",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Zach Lahn and Josh Turek win: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidates' party affiliations and election outcomes, verified against official state election results by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Iowa Governor winner: Republican party, Iowa Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Iowa Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Iowa Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
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            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
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        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 288.60080000000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WHQHXBTLT5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K724YL44P6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIASENGOVCOMBO-26NOV-REPREP",
      "question": "Will Iowa Governor winner be Republican party and Iowa Senate winner be Republican party?",
      "description": "Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Zach Lahn and Ashley Hinson win: Kalshi staff determination of the named candidates' party affiliations and election outcomes, verified against official state election results by November 3, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If ALL of the following occur: Iowa Governor winner: Republican party, Iowa Senate winner: Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Iowa Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Iowa Senate winner (SENATEPARTY). ",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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        "governor",
        "iowa",
        "iowa governor and",
        "republican",
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-K724YL44P6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}