{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
  "slug": "kxibov-26dec31",
  "question": "What will be the highest level reached by the IBOVESPA in 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "ibovespa",
    "brazil-equities",
    "price-level",
    "2026",
    "financial-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the IBOVESPA's year-end 2026 closing level against discrete strike thresholds. Kalshi prices binary yes/no outcomes at each strike, forming an implied cumulative distribution across the R$170,500 to R$215,000 range. The strike ladder allows readers to infer market-implied probabilities of the index reaching successive levels. Kalshi staff determination references TradingView's year-end 2026 closing print as the authoritative data source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-7FZF0N4F22",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7FZF0N4F22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-170500",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$170,500 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$170,500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$170,500: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T17:32:07Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$170,500 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$170,500 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$170,500 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7940.79,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 170500,
      "question_id": "CMX-B877D3C388",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MYF18ZDHS1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-171000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$171,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$171,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$171,000: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T17:32:43Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$171,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$171,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$171,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3494.7,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 171000,
      "question_id": "CMX-76F8CE7FA6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M7C54K8MQ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-171500",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$171,500 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$171,500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$171,500: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T17:33:03Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$171,500 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$171,500 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$171,500 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2657.66,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 171500,
      "question_id": "CMX-9BD24D0859",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6BJPN81DP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-172000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$172,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$172,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$172,000: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-06T14:33:49Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$172,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$172,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$172,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 561.36,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 172000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CCE07314E7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-50VQH2NZ00",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-172500",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$172,500 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$172,500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$172,500: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-06T14:42:38Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$172,500 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$172,500 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$172,500 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 471.53,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 172500,
      "question_id": "CMX-33D45BE8C0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2M0JNCZT69",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-173000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$173,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$173,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$173,000: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-06T14:43:15Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$173,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$173,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$173,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 686.83,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 173000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CDE5B51C0F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WJFWC5F7G3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-173500",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$173,500 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$173,500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$173,500: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-06T14:43:53Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$173,500 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$173,500 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$173,500 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1422.64,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 173500,
      "question_id": "CMX-A80CD53DB1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-19TT0CVC19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-174000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$174,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$174,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$174,000: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-06T14:44:33Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$174,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$174,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$174,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 995.94,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 174000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FC36D147B6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QV8CXGKKJ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-174500",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$174,500 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$174,500",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$174,500: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-13T13:50:46Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$174,500 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$174,500 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$174,500 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 849.6,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 174500,
      "question_id": "CMX-1A985503CF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TQR061GGF8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-175000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$175,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$175,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$175,000: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-13T15:31:54Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$175,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$175,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$175,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 278.1,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 175000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DF6EF9595A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P9MW7C8TY6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-200000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$200,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$200,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$200,000: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$200,000 from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$200,000 at any single point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$200,000 at any point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 200000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8D089C55D4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J6PG0LCDB8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-205000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$205,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$205,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$205,000: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$205,000 from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$205,000 at any single point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$205,000 at any point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 205000,
      "question_id": "CMX-80C0CD73DD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NT1HB10LN0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-210000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$210,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$210,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$210,000: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$210,000 from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$210,000 at any single point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$210,000 at any point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 210000,
      "question_id": "CMX-0B00B56C82",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KDSQ2ZSS49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26DEC31-215000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$215,000 in 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$215,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$215,000: Kalshi staff determination based on Trading View's year-end 2026 closing level for the referenced index, due January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$215,000 from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$215,000 at any single point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$215,000 at any point during from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 13, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0.1,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 215000,
      "question_id": "CMX-D00FAC747C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "brazil",
        "equity-index",
        "ibovespa",
        "level"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TQR061GGF8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
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      "resolved_at": "2026-07-13T16:01:59.534148Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QV8CXGKKJ9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-19TT0CVC19",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06T15:14:34.433559Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WJFWC5F7G3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06T15:13:54.439817Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2M0JNCZT69",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06T15:13:24.436352Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-50VQH2NZ00",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "PENDING",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06T15:12:44.437394Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.93,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6BJPN81DP5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-06T15:03:54.537849Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M7C54K8MQ2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-22T18:03:04.089793Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MYF18ZDHS1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-22T18:02:44.086938Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7FZF0N4F22",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-22T18:02:14.139391Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-3DJNRH8H46",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}