{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
  "slug": "kxibov-26jul31",
  "question": "Will the IBOVESPA reach a specific price level in July 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "brazilian-equities",
    "index-performance",
    "price-threshold",
    "july-2026",
    "fx-sensitive"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the IBOVESPA closing level on the final trading day of July 2026. Kalshi structures eleven binary strike thresholds spanning R$175,000 to R$185,000. Each contract asks whether the index closes at or above a discrete level, forming an implied cumulative distribution. Kalshi staff determination uses the official closing value as published by B3, Brazil's primary exchange operator.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-83Z3BJ06J2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.99,
    "implied_probability": 0.99
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-83Z3BJ06J2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-175000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$175,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$175,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$175,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-19T13:26:54Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$175,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$175,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$175,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 7404.9,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 175000,
      "question_id": "CMX-15A65F5FDE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-388RRG9K61",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-176000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$176,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$176,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$176,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-20T14:49:31Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$176,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$176,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$176,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3140.29,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 176000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3C00110B93",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2FRK2KWDH8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-177000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$177,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$177,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$177,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-20T14:49:46Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$177,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$177,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$177,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2350.28,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 177000,
      "question_id": "CMX-348CB0BE67",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYYZRJSQD2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-178000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$178,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$178,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$178,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-20T14:50:07Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$178,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$178,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$178,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3750.14,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 178000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B0936105A2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-686YYB5B03",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-179000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$179,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$179,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$179,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$179,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$179,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$179,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.56,
      "implied_probability": 0.56,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1198.5288,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 179000,
      "question_id": "CMX-20507B3483",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RGCHQ2Q2Q3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-180000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$180,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$180,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$180,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$180,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$180,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$180,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 207.0972,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 180000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7D95E0E3F3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KQXTDW2SN7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-181000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$181,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$181,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$181,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$181,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$181,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$181,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.16,
      "volume_total_usd": 470.48160000000007,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 181000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9B4A08DD30",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZBQ7WCPSP3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-182000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$182,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$182,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$182,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$182,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$182,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$182,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.52,
      "implied_probability": 0.52,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 558.038,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 182000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B0B2237BFC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KFM69GPYX6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-183000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$183,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$183,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$183,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$183,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$183,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$183,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 104.76600000000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 183000,
      "question_id": "CMX-ABB041BADB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HH2CF4ZWJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-184000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$184,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$184,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$184,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$184,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$184,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$184,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 63.7992,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 184000,
      "question_id": "CMX-992727A032",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CKM0S448K4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIBOV-26JUL31-185000",
      "question": "Will the IBOVESPA be at least R$185,000 in July 2026?",
      "description": "At least R$185,000",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "At least R$185,000: Kalshi staff will determine the Brazilian equity index closing value on the final trading day of July 2026 via TradingView data.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T14:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of IBOVESPA (IBOV) is at least R$185,000 from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market resolves based on the value of the IBOVESPA as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed R$185,000 at any single point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach R$185,000 at any point during from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. \n\nIf no data is available for from Jul 1, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than \"No data\" or \"None\" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "Trading View",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Trading View",
            "url": "https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/INDEX-IBOV/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Trading View",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 40.1908,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": 185000,
      "question_id": "CMX-E11DCA6DA2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "brazil",
        "ibovespa",
        "index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYYZRJSQD2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-20T15:20:09.799192Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2FRK2KWDH8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-20T15:19:49.801893Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-388RRG9K61",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-20T15:19:39.802576Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-83Z3BJ06J2",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-19T13:57:02.598544Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.99,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Z9J567SQG3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}