{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YNSX6HM6Q9",
  "slug": "kxinterstellar-26",
  "question": "Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "astronomy",
    "interstellar-objects",
    "space-discovery",
    "2026",
    "scientific-confirmation"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the International Astronomical Union will confirm a new interstellar object entering the solar system in 2026. Resolution is set for December 31, 2026, via Kalshi staff determination. The authoritative trigger is an IAU confirmation announcement, not detection or candidate designation alone. Only one platform structures this event, so no cross-platform directional contrast exists here.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-T4RH9W3Z39",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.29
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T4RH9W3Z39",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YNSX6HM6Q9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINTERSTELLAR-26",
      "question": "Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed in 2026?",
      "description": "Before 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The International Astronomical Union announces confirmation of a new interstellar visitor entering the solar system during 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If any object is confirmed to be an interstellar visitor before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the International Astronomical Union",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the International Astronomical Union",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "EarthSky",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Scientific American",
            "url": "https://www.scientificamerican.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NASA",
            "url": "https://blogs.nasa.gov/planetarydefense/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Fox News",
            "url": "https://www.foxnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "MSNBC",
            "url": "https://www.msnbc.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "the Minor Planet Center",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Nature",
            "url": "https://www.nature.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Ars Technica",
            "url": "https://arstechnica.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "in hierarchical order",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CBS",
            "url": "https://www.cbsnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "NBC",
            "url": "https://www.nbcnews.com/",
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            "name": "LiveScience",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "the European Space Agency",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
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          {
            "name": "The New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNN",
            "url": "https://www.cnn.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Axios",
            "url": "https://www.axios.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Politico",
            "url": "https://www.politico.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Washington Post",
            "url": "https://www.washingtonpost.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg News",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "the Associated Press",
            "url": "https://apnews.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "the International Astronomical Union",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.29,
      "implied_probability": 0.29,
      "volume_24h_usd": 341.3764,
      "volume_total_usd": 72471.0928,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "astronomy",
        "comet",
        "exoplanet",
        "interstellar visitor confirmation",
        "space"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YNSX6HM6Q9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}