{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
  "slug": "kxinxmaxy-01jan2027",
  "question": "S&P 500 maximum value, January 1, 2027",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      8000,
      8200
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 7200,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7400,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7600,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 7800,
        "prob": 84
      },
      {
        "threshold": 8000,
        "prob": 66
      },
      {
        "threshold": 8200,
        "prob": 26
      },
      {
        "threshold": 8400,
        "prob": 18
      },
      {
        "threshold": 8600,
        "prob": 9
      },
      {
        "threshold": 8800,
        "prob": 7
      },
      {
        "threshold": 9000,
        "prob": 6
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "sp500-max",
    "equity-index",
    "us-markets",
    "price-target",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the S&P 500 index reaches discrete closing-price thresholds by January 1, 2027. Kalshi structures eight binary strikes spanning 7,600 to 9,000, each asking whether the index's maximum close meets or exceeds that level. The implied probability curve across strikes reveals the market's consensus on the index's upper-bound range through year-end 2026. S&P Dow Jones Indices is the authoritative source; Kalshi staff determine resolution.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JWD7DQK0F6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.3,
    "implied_probability": 0.3,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PNWRK8VJ19",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-7599.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7599.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "7,600 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "7,600 or above: S&P 500 index closes at or above the referenced threshold as recorded by S&P Dow Jones Indices by January 1, 2027, with Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-02T18:14:06Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.995,
      "implied_probability": 0.995,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 230933.49,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7600,
      "question_id": "CMX-7187739599",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-M7TZVY2086",
          "price": 0.999
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "sp500",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L4LK5ZG9C6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-7799.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7799.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "7,800 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "7,800 or above: S&P 500 index closes at or above the referenced threshold as recorded by S&P Dow Jones Indices by January 1, 2027, with Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.993,
      "implied_probability": 0.993,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-19T20:01:05.415Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 382136.77587,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7800,
      "question_id": "CMX-8594AA3DA6",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-8LKQDSMT49",
          "price": 0.92
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "sp500",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6V3FQP93H8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-7999.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7999.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "8,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "8,000 or above: S&P 500 index closes at or above the referenced threshold as recorded by S&P Dow Jones Indices by January 1, 2027, with Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.548,
      "implied_probability": 0.548,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 1042.2357200000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 184898.46608,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8000,
      "question_id": "CMX-0D35DE32D0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "sp500",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JWD7DQK0F6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-8199.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8199.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "8,200 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "8,200 or above: S&P 500 index closes at or above the referenced threshold as recorded by S&P Dow Jones Indices by January 1, 2027, with Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 35.544,
      "volume_total_usd": 46611.537000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8200,
      "question_id": "CMX-E10BA6DC0B",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-TXR1MJ6ZK5",
          "price": 0.25
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "sp500",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VM29SFFXD6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-8399.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8399.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "8,400 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "8,400 or above: S&P 500 index closes at or above the referenced threshold as recorded by S&P Dow Jones Indices by January 1, 2027, with Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.122,
      "implied_probability": 0.122,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 17.97182,
      "volume_total_usd": 12137.2737,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8400,
      "question_id": "CMX-7BD9D084EE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "sp500",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7XJMZS3L49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-8599.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8599.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "8,600 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "8,600 or above: S&P 500 index closes at or above the referenced threshold as recorded by S&P Dow Jones Indices by January 1, 2027, with Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8599.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.111,
      "implied_probability": 0.111,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 87.54348,
      "volume_total_usd": 10740.858390000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8600,
      "question_id": "CMX-6303FA7DD9",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-WFJB7PHW95",
          "price": 0.11
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "sp500",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-12QLCL10V9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-8799.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8799.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "8,800 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "8,800 or above: S&P 500 index closes at or above the referenced threshold as recorded by S&P Dow Jones Indices by January 1, 2027, with Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8799.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.037,
      "implied_probability": 0.037,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.5619899999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 1335.35072,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 8800,
      "question_id": "CMX-060124080E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "sp500",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VVPG89MVH4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-8999.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 8999.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "9,000 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "9,000 or above: S&P 500 index closes at or above the referenced threshold as recorded by S&P Dow Jones Indices by January 1, 2027, with Kalshi staff determination.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 8999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.043,
      "implied_probability": 0.043,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 18.50075,
      "volume_total_usd": 2744.1172399999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 9000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8FE2E39D45",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equities",
        "sp500",
        "us-index"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y9TGLPF4Q5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-7199.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7199.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "7,200 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "7,200 or above: S&P 500 closing value on January 1, 2027, per S&P Dow Jones Indices; resolves YES if the index reaches the specified threshold by that date.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-08T14:47:19Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.998,
      "implied_probability": 0.998,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 451109.41,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7200,
      "question_id": "CMX-454DF3D6D5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equity-index",
        "sp500",
        "us-equities"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5HBH5YKJJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMAXY-01JAN2027-7399.99",
      "question": "Will the maximum SP500 value reach 7399.99 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "7,400 or above",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "7,400 or above: S&P 500 closing value on January 1, 2027, per S&P Dow Jones Indices; resolves YES if the index reaches the specified threshold by that date.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-15T00:23:35Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7399.99, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 210093.56,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 7400,
      "question_id": "CMX-6E78F5D2E3",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "polymarket",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-YB4PXZRQ41",
          "price": 0.999
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "500",
        "equity-index",
        "sp500",
        "us-equities"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "permitted_category": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y9TGLPF4Q5",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5HBH5YKJJ8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PNWRK8VJ19",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-02T18:44:11.76335Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0.995,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-0RZ3HRXJN8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}