{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-P3C38JNNT7",
  "slug": "kxinxminy-01jan2027",
  "question": "S&P 500 minimum value, January 1, 2027",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "below",
    "implied_band": [
      5900,
      null
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    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 5900,
        "prob": 10
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      {
        "threshold": 6000,
        "prob": 15
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      {
        "threshold": 6100,
        "prob": 18
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      {
        "threshold": 6200,
        "prob": 22
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      {
        "threshold": 6300,
        "prob": 26
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  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "sp500-minimum",
    "equity-markets",
    "price-level",
    "2027-resolution",
    "market-volatility"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the S&P 500 index reaches successive downside thresholds by January 1, 2027. Kalshi structures the event as five discrete strike levels: 5,900, 6,000, 6,100, 6,200, and 6,300. Each binary resolves YES if the S&P 500 prints at or below the stated level at any official close through the deadline. Resolution relies on S&P Dow Jones Indices official closing data, confirmed via Kalshi staff determination.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-QD8LF22K59",
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    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6300.01",
      "question": "Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6300.01 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "6,300 or below",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "6,300 or below: S&P 500 index minimum value through January 1, 2027 resolves via S&P Dow Jones Indices official closing data, with Kalshi staff determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6300.01, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 6300,
      "question_id": "CMX-140FAD6EE9",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6200.01",
      "question": "Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6200.01 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "6,200 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "6,200 or below: S&P 500 index minimum value through January 1, 2027 resolves via S&P Dow Jones Indices official closing data, with Kalshi staff determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6200.01, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R071PQDCQ9",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6100.01",
      "question": "Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6100.01 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "6,100 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "6,100 or below: S&P 500 index minimum value through January 1, 2027 resolves via S&P Dow Jones Indices official closing data, with Kalshi staff determination by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T11:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6100.01, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
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            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
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      "last_price": 0.09,
      "implied_probability": 0.09,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 6100,
      "question_id": "CMX-F8C9F9B1E4",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZNGHMFT2D0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-P3C38JNNT7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXMINY-01JAN2027-6000.01",
      "question": "Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 6000.01 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "6,000 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "6,000 or below: S&P 500 index minimum value through January 1, 2027 resolves via S&P Dow Jones Indices official closing data, with Kalshi staff determination by January 8, 2027.",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
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      "implied_probability": 0.096,
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      "question": "Will the minimum SP500 value reach below 5900.01 by Jan 1, 2027?",
      "description": "5,900 or below",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-P3C38JNNT7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}