{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-FK9S1HQHB6",
  "slug": "kxinxpos-26dec31h1900",
  "question": "Will the S&P 500 finish positive this year?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "sp500",
    "annual-return",
    "market-performance",
    "equities",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This event tracks whether the S&P 500 closes above 6845.5 on December 31, 2026. That strike level represents the index's approximate starting value for 2026, making the binary outcome equivalent to a positive annual return. S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes the authoritative closing price used for settlement. Kalshi staff determination resolves the contract against that print.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-M44HW2GDP8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.78,
    "implied_probability": 0.78
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M44HW2GDP8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-FK9S1HQHB6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXINXPOS-26DEC31H1900-T6845.5",
      "question": "Will the S&P 500 be above 6845.5 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?",
      "description": "Positive Growth",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes the S&P 500 closing price on December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThe market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.\n\nPursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "For example, Google Finance",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "For example, Google Finance",
            "url": "https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP?hl=en",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "loose",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.78,
      "implied_probability": 0.78,
      "volume_24h_usd": 663.8658,
      "volume_total_usd": 651695.8266,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6846,
      "question_id": "CMX-E6131A5C15",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "500",
        "equity",
        "index",
        "us"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "eligible",
          "reasons": [],
          "bucket": "financial_indicators",
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-FK9S1HQHB6",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}