{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HZ85JTJJW8",
  "slug": "kxiphonerelease-iphone18",
  "question": "Will Apple release the iPhone 18 by 2026?",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "apple",
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    "product-release",
    "consumer-tech",
    "2026"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Apple releases the iPhone 18 across four sequential deadline tiers: April 1, July 1, October 1, and January 1, 2027. Each tier is a binary yes/no; together they form an implied timing distribution for the launch. A \"yes\" on an earlier tier logically implies \"yes\" on all later tiers. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination for each contract individually.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-KBZCYHGK70",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.2,
    "implied_probability": 0.2
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18-26APR01",
      "question": "Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Apr 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before April",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before April: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named company releases the referenced product before January 1, 2027, based on official company announcements or public documentation by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "company",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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          {
            "name": "authorized retailers and distributors of company",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "Apple Inc.",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Apple Inc.",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "question_id": "CMX-0BE72E105B",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
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          "reasons": [
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          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    {
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      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18-26JUL01",
      "question": "Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jul 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before July",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before July: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named company releases the referenced product before January 1, 2027, based on official company announcements or public documentation by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Apple Inc. releases iPhone 18 to the public before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.",
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            "name": "authorized retailers and distributors of company",
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      "rcg": {
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      "question_id": "CMX-4A930DEEBE",
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      "question": "Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Oct 1, 2026?",
      "description": "Before October",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Before October: Kalshi staff determination of whether the named company releases the referenced product before January 1, 2027, based on official company announcements or public documentation by January 8, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
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      "last_price": 0.15,
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      "tags": [
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          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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      "platform_market_id": "KXIPHONERELEASE-IPHONE18-27JAN01",
      "question": "Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027?",
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  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J4SW6YWPM3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-08T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0.01,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-HZ85JTJJW8",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}