{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HJ32HWKD7",
  "slug": "kxipoanthropic-date",
  "question": "Will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2027)",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "anthropic",
    "ipo",
    "corporate-finance",
    "tech-companies",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Anthropic will publicly announce an IPO by discrete monthly deadlines spanning June 2026 through April 2027. Kalshi structures the event as cumulative binary strikes, each asking whether an announcement occurs before a given month-end threshold. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination. The key caveat is definitional: what constitutes an \"official\" IPO announcement, such as an S-1 filing versus a public statement, is subject to Kalshi staff interpretation.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-NY7KBHHD38",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.91,
    "implied_probability": 0.91,
    "as_of": "2026-09-05T05:00:33.736Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HJ32HWKD7",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26JUN01",
      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
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          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
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          {
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            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 80,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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      "also_on": null,
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      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HJ32HWKD7",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26AUG01",
      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
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            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
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            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HJ32HWKD7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26SEP01",
      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Sep 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Sep 1, 2026: Official IPO announcement by the named company resolves per Kalshi staff determination by January 8, 2027, verified through public sources including the New York Times.",
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      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.",
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        "rules_raw": "If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Nov 1, 2026.",
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