{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HJ32HWKD7",
  "slug": "kxipoanthropic-date",
  "question": "Will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (multi-deadline series, 2026-2027)",
  "category": "companies",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "companies",
    "anthropic",
    "ipo",
    "corporate-finance",
    "tech-companies",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the timing of an official Anthropic IPO announcement across monthly strike thresholds. Each Kalshi contract prices the cumulative probability of announcement before a discrete calendar date, from June 2026 through April 2027. The stepped structure lets traders express a term view on announcement timing, not merely a binary outcome. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination, keyed to New York Times reporting of an official announcement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5MHVPN8138",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.2,
    "implied_probability": 0.2
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N5Z7Y64LT4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HJ32HWKD7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26JUN01",
      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jun 1, 2026: The New York Times reports an official IPO announcement by the named company before October 1, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
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            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
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          {
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            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
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          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 736.05,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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        "announcement",
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26JUL01",
      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T14:00:00Z",
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            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
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            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 82,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2716.6246,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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        "announcement",
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        "ipo"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-12VQBQW538",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HJ32HWKD7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26AUG01",
      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Aug 1, 2026: The New York Times reports an official IPO announcement by the named company before October 1, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Aug 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "name": "Bloomberg",
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            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
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          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2092.1016,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NJVCTW1BJ2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HJ32HWKD7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26SEP01",
      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Sep 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Sep 1, 2026: The New York Times reports an official IPO announcement by the named company before October 1, 2026, with Kalshi staff determination by October 8, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-09-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
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      "close_at": "2026-11-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-08T15:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Nov 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-0HJ32HWKD7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-26DEC01",
      "question": "When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?",
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