{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1P5R0ZCZM0",
  "slug": "kxipofannie",
  "question": "Will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "fannie-mae",
    "ipo",
    "us-finance",
    "corporate-announcement",
    "housing-finance"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the timing of an official Fannie Mae IPO announcement. Kalshi structures the event as sequential monthly strike thresholds, spanning June 2026 through June 2027. Each tier resolves independently via Kalshi staff determination, referencing New York Times reporting. Resolution requires an official announcement, not a filing or market rumor.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-CBPSQT2YF7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.33,
    "implied_probability": 0.33
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-343N27B8D9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1P5R0ZCZM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOFANNIE-26JUN01",
      "question": "When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jun 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determination based on official announcements reported by the New York Times, resolving by June 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
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            "name": "the New York Times",
            "url": "https://www.nytimes.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ABC",
            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "The Wall Street Journal",
            "url": "https://www.wsj.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Financial Times",
            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 41.14,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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        "fannie mae",
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        "ipo"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CVS3VGNR18",
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      "question": "When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?",
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      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2026.",
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            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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      "volume_total_usd": 15.78,
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CM3P7LPKB7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1P5R0ZCZM0",
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      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOFANNIE-26AUG01",
      "question": "When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-01T03:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Aug 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "last_price": 0.01,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 26.08,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WQ7W9V4MW8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1P5R0ZCZM0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOFANNIE-26SEP01",
      "question": "When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Sep 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Sep 1, 2026: Kalshi staff determination based on official announcements reported by the New York Times, resolving by June 1, 2027.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-09-08T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "last_price": 0.05,
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    },
    {
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      "question": "When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?",
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    {
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      "platform": "kalshi",
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      "question": "When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Nov 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "When will Fannie Mae officially announce an IPO?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Fannie Mae confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Dec 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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