{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
  "slug": "kxipooura",
  "question": "Will Oura officially announce an IPO?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "oura-health",
    "ipo-announcement",
    "biotech-wearables",
    "2026",
    "capital-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Oura Health Oy will officially announce an IPO across seven discrete quarterly cutoffs through January 2028. Kalshi structures the event as a cascade of binary thresholds: each contract asks whether an announcement occurs before a specific quarter-end date. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination, referencing major financial news outlet coverage of a formal company announcement. The cumulative structure lets traders express both timing conviction and tail-risk positioning across the full 18-month window.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DF98GM5XN8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.96,
    "implied_probability": 0.96,
    "as_of": "2026-08-18T23:01:03.180Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YYKGMP7L37",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOOURA-26JUL01",
      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jul 1, 2026: The listed company's official IPO announcement, as reported by major financial news outlets including the New York Times, by January 1, 2028, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2026.",
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        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
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            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 70,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
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      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.",
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          {
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          {
            "name": "BBC",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.75,
      "implied_probability": 0.75,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T06:00:35.987Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 213.71249999999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 14413.724999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
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        "oura health"
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        {
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CNTTWFDCG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOOURA-27JAN01",
      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Jan 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jan 1, 2027: The listed company's official IPO announcement, as reported by major financial news outlets including the New York Times, by January 1, 2028, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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            "url": "https://abcnews.go.com/",
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          {
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            "name": "CNBC",
            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
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          {
            "name": "Reuters",
            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "BBC",
            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 70,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.98,
      "implied_probability": 0.98,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-05T10:00:37.638Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 6.859999999999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 8425.2168,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "ipo",
        "oura",
        "oura health"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
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          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12",
          "cluster": "ipo_announcements"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W8RRC3V2G7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOOURA-27APR01",
      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Apr 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Apr 1, 2027: The listed company's official IPO announcement, as reported by major financial news outlets including the New York Times, by January 1, 2028, determines the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-04-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Apr 1, 2027.",
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      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
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      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-07-08T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2027.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
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      "resolve_at": "2027-10-08T14:00:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2027.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}