{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
  "slug": "kxipooura",
  "question": "Will Oura officially announce an IPO?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "oura-health",
    "ipo-announcement",
    "biotech-wearables",
    "2026",
    "capital-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track when Oura Health Oy will officially announce an IPO. Kalshi structures the event as seven sequential binary thresholds, each asking whether an announcement occurs before a discrete quarter-end date through January 2028. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination, with the New York Times cited as the authoritative source for confirmation. Traders can express views on announcement timing by comparing implied probabilities across adjacent quarterly strikes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-2QRQM5VYK5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.91,
    "implied_probability": 0.91
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YYKGMP7L37",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOOURA-26JUL01",
      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-08T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2026.",
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        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
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            "url": "https://www.ft.com",
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            "url": "https://www.cnbc.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://www.reuters.com",
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            "url": "https://www.bbc.co.uk",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.04,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 77.6228,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.25,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CNTTWFDCG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOOURA-27JAN01",
      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Jan 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Jan 1, 2027: Kalshi staff determination of official IPO announcement date, as reported by the New York Times, by October 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-08T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.",
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        "caps": [
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      "last_price": 0.65,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W8RRC3V2G7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOOURA-27APR01",
      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
      "description": "Before Apr 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Before Apr 1, 2027: Kalshi staff determination of official IPO announcement date, as reported by the New York Times, by October 1, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-04-01T03:59:00Z",
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      "question": "When will Oura Health Oy officially announce an IPO?",
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        "rules_raw": "If Oura Health Oy confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2027.",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-KM1GC95HD3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}