{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
  "slug": "kxipospacex",
  "question": "Will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "spacex",
    "ipo",
    "corporate-finance",
    "space-industry",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether SpaceX completes an IPO before July 1, 2026. All 15 contracts are Kalshi-native, structured as discrete binary tiers across different time horizons through June 2027. Each resolves via Kalshi staff determination against a completion threshold. The key caveat is that the trigger is IPO completion, not announcement, which may affect how traders price near-term strikes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-R3K0ZCHBX7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-THPSJ4KNY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-26APR01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Apr 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-06-01T14:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Apr 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8218.21,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-03LJ9YYBY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-26MAY01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before May 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-05-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-05-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after May 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 14084.24,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TSP6J862B8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-26JUN01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 37894.87,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R3K0ZCHBX7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-26JUL01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Jul 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:53:03Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:53:03Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13506.57,
      "volume_total_usd": 608066.37,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-261BGMK605",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-26AUG01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Aug 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Aug 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 763.26,
      "volume_total_usd": 218376.12,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F8YKFDKNG3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-26SEP01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Sep 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 605.58,
      "volume_total_usd": 107653.43,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QZ61HSBD9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-26OCT01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Oct 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 34.65,
      "volume_total_usd": 45853.37,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJKYF6JPK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-26NOV01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Nov 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Nov 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 833.37,
      "volume_total_usd": 52419.88,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PPT0FVV5M6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-26DEC01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Dec 1, 2026",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Dec 1, 2026.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 193.81,
      "volume_total_usd": 42452.49,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2BVGGWT323",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-27JAN01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Jan 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 40512.78,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NVZK80YRN3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-27FEB01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Feb 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Feb 1, 2027.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 84.28,
      "volume_total_usd": 15114.83,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W5QGXCY882",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-27MAR01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Mar 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Mar 1, 2027.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 14406.8,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BF9734WZW0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-27APR01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Apr 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Apr 1, 2027.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11602.3,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HVY1QXQ8T6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-27MAY01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before May 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after May 1, 2027.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 20948.28,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-39TZ45YD96",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIPOSPACEX-27JUN01",
      "question": "When will SpaceX IPO?",
      "description": "Before Jun 1, 2027",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Kalshi staff determination of whether SpaceX completes an initial public offering before July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nAn IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2027.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the New York Times",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.nytimes.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 90,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 53587.45,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2027",
        "ipo",
        "spacex"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "review",
          "reasons": [
            "category_interpretation_s1"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-THPSJ4KNY1",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2027-06-01T14:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-261BGMK605",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F8YKFDKNG3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QZ61HSBD9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJKYF6JPK9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PPT0FVV5M6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2BVGGWT323",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NVZK80YRN3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-W5QGXCY882",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BF9734WZW0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HVY1QXQ8T6",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-39TZ45YD96",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:54:20Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R3K0ZCHBX7",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-12T16:53:03Z",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TSP6J862B8",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-01T03:59:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-03LJ9YYBY3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-05-01T03:59:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-PYPZW1N9Y7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}