{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SM21RS13V3",
  "slug": "kxirandemocracy-27mar01",
  "question": "Will Iran become a democracy by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
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  "tags": [
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    "iran-politics",
    "democracy-index",
    "governance-transition",
    "middle-east",
    "eiu-metrics"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index for the 2026 edition. The threshold is a score of at least 6.0, which would classify Iran as a flawed democracy or better. The Economist Intelligence Unit publishes scores annually; Iran currently sits well below that threshold. Resolution is by Kalshi staff determination referencing the EIU's official 2026 publication.",
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    "implied_probability": 0.04
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SM21RS13V3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "KXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01-T6",
      "question": "Will Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index be at least 6 in the 2026 edition?",
      "description": "Yes",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "The Economist Intelligence Unit publishes Iran's Democracy Index score in its 2026 edition.",
      "close_at": "2027-03-01T14:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-05-30T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://kalshi.com/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "the Statistical Review of World Energy",
            "url": "https://kalshi.com/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "EIU Democracy Index 2026 report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2,
      "volume_total_usd": 11038.7584,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democracy",
        "eiu democracy index",
        "governance",
        "iran"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SM21RS13V3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}